Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Estadio Feliciano Gambarte, Godoy Cruz · referee F. Tello Figueroa · full time
Full time: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and Independiente Rivadavia drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 16 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte. The goals: Germán Guiffrey 45', Luis Díaz 90+5'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Germán Guiffrey put Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza ahead in the 45th minute, set up by Facundo Lencioni. Independiente Rivadavia levelled at 1-1 in the 90th minute (+5) through Luis Díaz. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
José Florentín of Independiente Rivadavia was sent off in the 17th minute. Luciano Cingolani of Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza was sent off in the 84th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, F. Tello Figueroa, showed 8 yellow cards: 4 to Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 4 to Independiente Rivadavia.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: D. Franco Gatti, 5-3-2 · Independiente Rivadavia: A. Berti, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Independiente Rivadavia win at 46% and gave a draw 26%; the match went the other way.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.75 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 0.47 for Independiente Rivadavia.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza had 5 shots on target, Independiente Rivadavia 4.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza had 59% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 0.99 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 34% of their matches.
Independiente Rivadavia came into it with 33 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 1.13 against, and had won 48% of their matches.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia: the match in numbers
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | Match statistics | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 0.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.47 |
| 10 | Total shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 337 | Total passes | 235 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 50% |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 16 | Tackles | 19 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Germán Guiffrey (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
- Germán Guiffrey 7.5 1 goal
- Ezequiel Muñoz 7.3
- Facundo Lencioni 7.2 1 assist
- Esteban Fernández 7.0
- Luciano Paredes 7.0
Independiente Rivadavia
- Luis Díaz 7.2 1 goal
- Leonel Bucca 7.0
- Nicolás Bolcato 7.0
- Luis Sequeira 6.8
- Alejo Osella 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was José Florentín at 4.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Sunday 22 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
- Independiente Rivadavia: Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia
What was the score in Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Germán Guiffrey 45', Luis Díaz 90+5'.
Did Moneyball predict Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia correctly?
The prediction missed. Before kick-off Moneyball leaned to an Independiente Rivadavia win at 46% and gave a draw 26%; the match went the other way.
Who was man of the match in Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Germán Guiffrey, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia?
F. Tello Figueroa.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.