Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Prediction and Stats
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario · updated 2026-11-13
Rosario Central welcome Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to Estadio Gigante de Arroyito in Rosario in Liga Profesional Argentina action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Rosario Central have played 35 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 18 matches, with a 55% win rate. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 34% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 16 matches, with a 27% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Rosario Central are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 22% and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rosario Central 1.95, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0.79.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (35 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Rosario Central: form and key numbers
In style Rosario Central keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 0.95 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.7).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 57.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 34% of matches (58% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: form and key numbers
In style Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 47.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 28% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: season averages side by side
| Rosario Central | Per match this season | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Matches | 32 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.99 |
| 0.95 | xG conceded | 1.54 |
| 14.3 | Shots | 12.2 |
| 5.1 | On target | 3.9 |
| 57.4 | Possession % | 47.3 |
| 34% | Clean sheets % | 28% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Rosario Central
- Ángel Di María RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 70 · Crosser, Creator (top 2% of his position)
- Pol Fernández CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 56 · Long passer, Creator (top 19% of his position)
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
- César Rigamonti GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 26% of his position)
- Tomás O'Connor CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 47 · Reads the game, Creator (top 16% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jáminton Campaz
Jáminton Campaz, 26 · Rosario Central · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 73
Jáminton Campaz, 26, plays as a winger for Rosario Central in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 73
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 69
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.50 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.83 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 2.84 / 90 | 87% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.99 / 90 | 85% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Jáminton Campaz is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jáminton Campaz's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza prediction
Rosario Central should have more of the ball, with Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rosario Central work the ball wide and cross; Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.95 for Rosario Central and 0.79 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 47%. Rosario Central have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rosario Central 2-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: what the numbers say
- 1. Rosario Central win, the likeliest result 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.74 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 14.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Vélez Sarsfield vs Belgrano Friday 20 November 2026
- Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central Saturday 21 November 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Saturday 21 November 2026
- River Plate vs Lanús Sunday 22 November 2026
- Instituto vs Huracán Monday 23 November 2026
- Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Monday 23 November 2026
- Boca Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Thursday 26 November 2026
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: questions and answers
When is Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina.
Where is Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza played?
At Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Rosario Central's home ground.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Rosario Central are the favourites: Rosario Central 64%, draw 22%, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 14%. Our prediction is Rosario Central 2-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
Who is the player to watch in Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Jáminton Campaz of Rosario Central: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 73 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.