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Independiente 1-4 Instituto: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Independiente 1-4 Instituto

Instituto beat Independiente 4-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 11 on Friday 2 October 2026 at Estadio Libertadores de América. The goals: Jeremías Lázaro 16', Maximiliano Meza 22', Hernán de la Fuente 51', Matías Gallardo 65', Alex Luna 80'.

How Instituto won it

The opening goal came in the 16th minute: Jeremías Lázaro for Instituto, set up by Matías Tissera. Independiente levelled at 1-1 in the 22nd minute through Maximiliano Meza, set up by Santiago Montiel. Hernán de la Fuente made it 1-2 to Instituto in the 51st minute. Matías Gallardo made it 1-3 to Instituto in the 65th minute. Alex Luna made it 1-4 to Instituto in the 80th minute, set up by Jeremías Lázaro.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Maximiliano Meza of Independiente was sent off in the 44th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, H. Mastrángelo, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Independiente and 3 to Instituto.

Independiente: J. Viera Castro, 4-3-3 · Instituto: D. Flores, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.91 for Independiente and 0.55 for Instituto.

Instituto made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.5 goals.

Independiente created the better chances, 1.91 xG to 0.55, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Independiente had 2 shots on target, Instituto 6.

Instituto had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Independiente came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 37% of their matches.

Instituto came into it with 29 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 0.80 against, and had won 52% of their matches.

Independiente vs Instituto: the match in numbers

IndependienteMatch statisticsInstituto
47%Ball possession53%
1.91Expected goals (xG)0.55
8Total shots13
2Shots on target6
0Big chances3
306Total passes345
74%Pass accuracy80%
3Corners7
13Fouls9
0Offsides4
14Tackles15
2Saves1
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Independiente

Instituto

The lowest-rated starter was Mateo Pérez Curci at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Independiente vs Instituto

What was the score in Independiente vs Instituto?

Independiente 1-4 Instituto (half-time 1-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Friday 2 October 2026.

Who scored in Independiente vs Instituto?

Jeremías Lázaro 16', Maximiliano Meza 22', Hernán de la Fuente 51', Matías Gallardo 65', Alex Luna 80'.

Did Moneyball predict Independiente vs Instituto correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Independiente vs Instituto?

Jeremías Lázaro, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Independiente vs Instituto?

H. Mastrángelo.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.