Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys

Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys: Independiente took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 2 on Friday 31 July 2026 at Estadio Libertadores de América. The goals: Santiago Montiel 41'.

How Independiente won it

Santiago Montiel put Independiente ahead in the 41st minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, P. Echavarría, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Independiente and 3 to Newell's Old Boys.

Independiente: G. Quinteros Desábato, 4-2-3-1 · Newell's Old Boys: F. Kudelka, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.07 for Independiente and 0.88 for Newell's Old Boys.

Newell's Old Boys created the better chances, 0.88 xG to 0.07, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Independiente had 4 shots on target, Newell's Old Boys 1.

Newell's Old Boys had 52% of the ball, but Independiente took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Independiente came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 37% of their matches.

Newell's Old Boys came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.02 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys: the match in numbers

IndependienteMatch statisticsNewell's Old Boys
48%Ball possession52%
0.07Expected goals (xG)0.88
12Total shots2
4Shots on target1
1Big chances0
404Total passes447
79%Pass accuracy77%
7Corners2
12Fouls7
0Offsides2
30Tackles32
1Saves3
2Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Santiago Montiel (Independiente), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Independiente

Newell's Old Boys

The lowest-rated starter was Walter Núñez at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys

What was the score in Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?

Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Friday 31 July 2026.

Who scored in Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?

Santiago Montiel 41'.

Did Moneyball predict Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?

Santiago Montiel, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys?

P. Echavarría.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.