Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, Rosario · updated 2026-10-25
Newell's Old Boys welcome Unión Santa Fe to Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa in Rosario in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
Newell's Old Boys have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 27% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 15 matches, with a 63% win rate. Unión Santa Fe have played 31 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 32% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 17 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Newell's Old Boys 39%, the draw 28%, Unión Santa Fe 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Newell's Old Boys 1.36, Unión Santa Fe 1.25.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (30 and 31 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Newell's Old Boys: form and key numbers
In style Newell's Old Boys play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.02 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.2).
- Shots: 10.4 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (63% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Unión Santa Fe: form and key numbers
In style Unión Santa Fe play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.38 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.1).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 49.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe: season averages side by side
| Newell's Old Boys | Per match this season | Unión Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Matches | 31 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.29 |
| 1.02 | xG conceded | 1.38 |
| 10.4 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 3.4 | On target | 4.9 |
| 46.4 | Possession % | 49.1 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 16% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 61% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
Newell's Old Boys
- Lautaro Giannetti CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 10% of his position)
- Armando Méndez RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 51 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Unión Santa Fe
- Lucas Ayala LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 45 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Juan Pablo Ludueña CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 44 · Disciplined, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mateo Del Blanco
Mateo Del Blanco, 22 · Unión Santa Fe · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 63
Mateo Del Blanco, 22, plays as a wing-back for Unión Santa Fe in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 63
- LB · Full-back Natural, 61
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.40 / 90 | 95% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.83 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 2.68 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected goals | 0.11 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Dribbler, Chance creator.
- What Mateo Del Blanco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mateo Del Blanco's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe prediction
Unión Santa Fe should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.36 for Newell's Old Boys and 1.25 for Unión Santa Fe - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 54%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Unión Santa Fe
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.61 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 11.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe: questions and answers
When is Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15.
Where is Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe played?
At Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, Rosario, Newell's Old Boys's home ground.
Who will win Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
It is close: Newell's Old Boys 39%, draw 28%, Unión Santa Fe 34%. Our prediction is Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Unión Santa Fe.
Who is the player to watch in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Mateo Del Blanco of Unión Santa Fe: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
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