Levski Sofia 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa League Matchday 4 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia · referee E. Jorgji · full time
Full time: Levski Sofia 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia beat Jagiellonia Białystok 1-0 in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov. The goals: Steven Stoyanchov 83'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Levski Sofia won it
The opening goal came in the 83rd minute: Steven Stoyanchov for Levski Sofia, set up by David Kusso.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, E. Jorgji, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Levski Sofia and 2 to Jagiellonia Białystok.
Levski Sofia: J. Velázquez Santiago, 4-3-3 · Jagiellonia Białystok: A. Siemieniec, 4-4-1-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-0 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Levski Sofia win at 45%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Levski Sofia win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Levski Sofia had 5 shots on target, Jagiellonia Białystok 2.
Jagiellonia Białystok had 52% of the ball, but Levski Sofia took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Levski Sofia came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Jagiellonia Białystok came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 0.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok: the match in numbers
| Levski Sofia | Match statistics | Jagiellonia Białystok |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Ball possession | 52% |
| 13 | Total shots | 10 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 447 | Total passes | 489 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 19 | Tackles | 24 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Apostolos Konstantopoulos (Jagiellonia Białystok), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Levski Sofia
- Kristian Dimitrov 7.4
- Aldair 7.4
- David Kusso 7.2 1 assist
- Maicon 7.2
- Steven Stoyanchov 7.1 1 goal
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Apostolos Konstantopoulos 7.8
- A. Klynge 7.5
- Sławomir Abramowicz 7.0
- Nik Prelec 6.9
- Jeremy Agbonifo 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Kajetan Szmyt at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Levski Sofia: Olympique Marseille vs Levski Sofia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
- Jagiellonia Białystok: Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Białystok Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
What was the score in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Levski Sofia 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok (half-time 0-0), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Steven Stoyanchov 83'.
Did Moneyball predict Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-0 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Apostolos Konstantopoulos, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
E. Jorgji.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.