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Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora beat Nacional 3-2 in Liga Portugal Matchday 4 on Sunday 30 August 2026 at Estádio da Madeira. The goals: Wesley Gasolina 3', Ianis Stoica 45+1', Abraham Marcus 62', Pablo Ruan 66', Leandro Antonetti  83'.

How Estrela Amadora won it

Nacional struck first through Wesley Gasolina in the 3rd minute, set up by William Kokolo. Estrela Amadora levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute (+1) through Ianis Stoica from the penalty spot. Estrela Amadora turned it round: Abraham Marcus made it 1-2 in the 62nd minute, set up by Eddy Doué. Nacional levelled at 2-2 in the 66th minute through Pablo Ruan, set up by Liziero. Leandro Antonetti  made it 2-3 to Estrela Amadora in the 83rd minute, set up by Eddy Doué.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, C. Fernandes Macedo, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Nacional and 1 to Estrela Amadora.

Nacional: J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião, 3-4-2-1 · Estrela Amadora: P. Marques da Costa Filipe, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.33 for Nacional and 0.81 for Estrela Amadora.

Estrela Amadora made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.2 goals.

Nacional created the better chances, 2.33 xG to 0.81, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Nacional had 5 shots on target, Estrela Amadora 4.

Nacional had 52% of the ball, but Estrela Amadora took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Nacional came into it with 8 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.20 expected goals for and 1.75 against, and had won 13% of their matches.

Estrela Amadora came into it with 9 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.52 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Nacional vs Estrela Amadora: the match in numbers

NacionalMatch statisticsEstrela Amadora
52%Ball possession48%
2.33Expected goals (xG)0.81
10Total shots15
5Shots on target4
1Big chances3
412Total passes388
82%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners3
12Fouls9
1Offsides1
15Tackles19
1Saves3
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Eddy Doué (Estrela Amadora), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Nacional

Estrela Amadora

The lowest-rated starter was Ze Vitor at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Nacional vs Estrela Amadora

What was the score in Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

Nacional 2-3 Estrela Amadora (half-time 1-1), Liga Portugal, Sunday 30 August 2026.

Who scored in Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

Wesley Gasolina 3', Ianis Stoica 45+1', Abraham Marcus 62', Pablo Ruan 66', Leandro Antonetti  83'.

Did Moneyball predict Nacional vs Estrela Amadora correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

Eddy Doué, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Nacional vs Estrela Amadora?

C. Fernandes Macedo.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.