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Paderborn 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Paderborn 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim

Paderborn 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim: Paderborn took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 4 on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Home Deluxe Arena. The goals: Santiago Castañeda 29', Stefano Marino 42', Adam Daghim 50', Steffen Tigges 69'.

How Paderborn won it

Paderborn struck first through Santiago Castañeda in the 29th minute. Stefano Marino made it 2-0 to Paderborn in the 42nd minute, set up by Laurin Curda. Adam Daghim made it 2-1 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 50th minute, set up by Max Moerstedt. Steffen Tigges made it 3-1 to Paderborn in the 69th minute, set up by Jonah Sticker.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

The referee, D. Schlager, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Paderborn and 1 to TSG Hoffenheim.

Paderborn: R. Kettemann, 3-5-2 · TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.81 for Paderborn and 1.09 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Paderborn scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Paderborn had 5 shots on target, TSG Hoffenheim 2.

TSG Hoffenheim had 66% of the ball, but Paderborn took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Paderborn came into it with 4 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.81 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 4 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.83 expected goals for and 1.66 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim: the match in numbers

PaderbornMatch statisticsTSG Hoffenheim
34%Ball possession66%
1.81Expected goals (xG)1.09
13Total shots23
5Shots on target2
2Big chances3
325Total passes639
71%Pass accuracy85%
6Corners5
6Fouls14
1Offsides3
22Tackles17
1Saves2
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Santiago Castañeda (Paderborn), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Paderborn

TSG Hoffenheim

The lowest-rated starter was Mats Rots at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim

What was the score in Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Paderborn 3-1 TSG Hoffenheim (half-time 2-0), Bundesliga, Sunday 20 September 2026.

Who scored in Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Santiago Castañeda 29', Stefano Marino 42', Adam Daghim 50', Steffen Tigges 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Santiago Castañeda, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Paderborn vs TSG Hoffenheim?

D. Schlager.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.