Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
La Liga Matchday 5 · Saturday 12 September 2026 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid · referee V. García Verdura · full time
Full time: Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano: Real Madrid took the points in La Liga Matchday 5 on Saturday 12 September 2026 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The goals: Kylian Mbappé 14', Álvaro Carreras 17', Jude Bellingham 35', Sergio Camello 51', Kylian Mbappé 90+1'.
How Real Madrid won it
Kylian Mbappé put Real Madrid ahead in the 14th minute from the penalty spot. Álvaro Carreras made it 2-0 to Real Madrid in the 17th minute, set up by Kylian Mbappé . Jude Bellingham made it 3-0 to Real Madrid in the 35th minute, set up by Vinicius Junior. Sergio Camello made it 3-1 to Rayo Vallecano in the 51st minute. Kylian Mbappé made it 4-1 to Real Madrid in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Arda Güler.
It was 3-0 at half-time.
Kylian Mbappé scored twice.
The referee, V. García Verdura, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Real Madrid and 1 to Rayo Vallecano.
Real Madrid: José Mourinho, 4-2-3-1 · Rayo Vallecano: B. San José Gil, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.35 for Real Madrid and 2.96 for Rayo Vallecano.
Real Madrid scored about 2.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Rayo Vallecano left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Rayo Vallecano created the better chances, 2.96 xG to 1.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Real Madrid had 11 shots on target, Rayo Vallecano 7.
Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Real Madrid had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Real Madrid came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 2.41 expected goals for and 1.20 against, and had won 71% of their matches.
Rayo Vallecano came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: the match in numbers
| Real Madrid | Match statistics | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Ball possession | 44% |
| 1.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.96 |
| 24 | Total shots | 18 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 543 | Total passes | 415 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Tackles | 16 |
| 6 | Saves | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid), rated 9.4 by Sportmonks.
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé 9.4
- Álvaro Carreras 8.6 1 goal
- Arda Güler 8.0 1 assist
- Jude Bellingham 7.8 1 goal
- Antonio Rüdiger 7.5
Rayo Vallecano
- Sergio Camello 7.9 1 goal
- Emil Audero 7.3
- Pedro Díaz 7.1
- Óscar Valentín 6.9
- Gnangoro 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Florian Lejeune at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Real Madrid: Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026 · La Liga
- Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Saturday 10 October 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
What was the score in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano (half-time 3-0), La Liga, Saturday 12 September 2026.
Who scored in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Kylian Mbappé 14', Álvaro Carreras 17', Jude Bellingham 35', Sergio Camello 51', Kylian Mbappé 90+1'.
Did Moneyball predict Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Kylian Mbappé, rated 9.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
V. García Verdura.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.