Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Sarmiento 2-0 Huracán: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Sarmiento 2-0 Huracán

Sarmiento won 2-0 at home to Huracán in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 5 on Sunday 16 August 2026. The goals: Junior Marabel 30', Lucas Suárez 86'.

How Sarmiento won it

Junior Marabel put Sarmiento ahead in the 30th minute. Lucas Suárez made it 2-0 to Sarmiento in the 86th minute, set up by Gastón González.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Jordy Caicedo of Huracán was sent off in the 66th minute. The referee, H. Mastrángelo, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Sarmiento and 4 to Huracán.

Sarmiento: F. Sava, 4-4-2 · Huracán: D. Martínez, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.22 for Sarmiento and 1.29 for Huracán.

Sarmiento scored about 1.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Huracán left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Huracán created the better chances, 1.29 xG to 0.22, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Sarmiento had 5 shots on target, Huracán 0.

Huracán had 69% of the ball, but Sarmiento took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sarmiento came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.02 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Huracán came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.38 against, and had won 34% of their matches.

Sarmiento vs Huracán: the match in numbers

SarmientoMatch statisticsHuracán
31%Ball possession69%
0.22Expected goals (xG)1.29
18Total shots10
5Shots on target0
1Big chances0
184Total passes441
54%Pass accuracy81%
9Corners4
14Fouls16
0Offsides3
20Tackles11
0Saves3
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Lucas Suárez (Sarmiento), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Sarmiento

Huracán

The lowest-rated starter was Jordy Caicedo at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sarmiento vs Huracán

What was the score in Sarmiento vs Huracán?

Sarmiento 2-0 Huracán (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 16 August 2026.

Who scored in Sarmiento vs Huracán?

Junior Marabel 30', Lucas Suárez 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Sarmiento vs Huracán correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Sarmiento vs Huracán?

Lucas Suárez, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sarmiento vs Huracán?

H. Mastrángelo.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.