Paderborn 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn · referee B. Dankert · full time
Full time: Paderborn 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
Paderborn and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 2-2 in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Home Deluxe Arena. The goals: Jonathan Burkardt 23', Raphael Obermair 45', Marvin Pieringer 73', Jonathan Burkardt 90+3'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Jonathan Burkardt put Eintracht Frankfurt ahead in the 23rd minute, set up by Farès Chaïbi. Paderborn levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute through Raphael Obermair, set up by Ruben Müller. Paderborn turned it round: Marvin Pieringer from the penalty spot made it 2-1 in the 73rd minute. Eintracht Frankfurt levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+3) through Jonathan Burkardt, set up by Noah Atubolu. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
It was 1-1 at half-time.
Jonathan Burkardt scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
Elias Baum of Eintracht Frankfurt was sent off in the 75th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, B. Dankert, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Paderborn and 2 to Eintracht Frankfurt.
Paderborn: R. Kettemann, 3-5-2 · Eintracht Frankfurt: A. Hütter, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Paderborn win at 39%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 65%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Eintracht Frankfurt win at 38%, a different lean from Moneyball's.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.56 for Paderborn and 2.21 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Paderborn to create more, and Eintracht Frankfurt did.
Paderborn had 3 shots on target, Eintracht Frankfurt 3.
Paderborn had 51% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Paderborn came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.67 expected goals for and 2.12 against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt: the match in numbers
| Paderborn | Match statistics | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Ball possession | 49% |
| 1.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.21 |
| 11 | Total shots | 16 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Big chances | 2 |
| 495 | Total passes | 473 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 20 | Tackles | 17 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jonathan Burkardt (Eintracht Frankfurt), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Paderborn
- Raphael Obermair 7.6 1 goal
- Marvin Pieringer 7.4 1 goal
- Jano ter Horst 7.2
- Stefano Marino 7.1
- Mattes Hansen 7.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Jonathan Burkardt 8.5 2 goals
- Farès Chaïbi 7.5 1 assist
- Noah Atubolu 7.0 1 assist
- Oscar Højlund 6.9
- Raphael Onyedika 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Ritsu Doan at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Paderborn: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt
What was the score in Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Paderborn 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (half-time 1-1), Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Jonathan Burkardt 23', Raphael Obermair 45', Marvin Pieringer 73', Jonathan Burkardt 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Jonathan Burkardt, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
B. Dankert.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.