MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Sparta Praha 1-3 AFC Bournemouth: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Sparta Praha 1-3 AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth won 3-1 away at Sparta Praha in Europa League Matchday 4 on Thursday 5 November 2026. The goals: Ebrima Singhateh 35', Tyler Adams 57', Evanilson 81', Rayan 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How AFC Bournemouth won it

The opening goal came in the 35th minute: Ebrima Singhateh for Sparta Praha, set up by Jakub Surovcik. AFC Bournemouth levelled at 1-1 in the 57th minute through Tyler Adams. AFC Bournemouth turned it round: Evanilson made it 1-2 in the 81st minute, set up by Ryan Christie. Rayan made it 1-3 to AFC Bournemouth in the 90th minute, set up by Evanilson.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Tobias Guddal of Sparta Praha was sent off in the 37th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, E. Lambrechts, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Sparta Praha and 2 to AFC Bournemouth. Lewis Cook missed a penalty for AFC Bournemouth in the 30 minute.

Sparta Praha: B. Priske Pedersen, 4-3-3 · AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 1-3 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an AFC Bournemouth win at 58%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an AFC Bournemouth win at 60%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Sparta Praha had 3 shots on target, AFC Bournemouth 9.

Sparta Praha's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

AFC Bournemouth had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sparta Praha came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

AFC Bournemouth came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 2.46 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth: the match in numbers

Sparta PrahaMatch statisticsAFC Bournemouth
42%Ball possession58%
12Total shots20
3Shots on target9
4Big chances3
388Total passes539
81%Pass accuracy87%
3Corners10
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
15Tackles22
6Saves2
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ebrima Singhateh (Sparta Praha), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Sparta Praha

AFC Bournemouth

The lowest-rated starter was Tobias Guddal at 5.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth

What was the score in Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth?

Sparta Praha 1-3 AFC Bournemouth (half-time 1-0), Europa League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth?

Ebrima Singhateh 35', Tyler Adams 57', Evanilson 81', Rayan 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 1-3 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth?

Ebrima Singhateh, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth?

E. Lambrechts.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.