Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Portugal Matchday 6 · Monday 14 September 2026 · Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga · referee D. Oliveira Silva · full time
Full time: Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril
Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril: Sporting Braga took the points in Liga Portugal Matchday 6 on Monday 14 September 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Braga. The goals: Jonas Wind 83'.
How Sporting Braga won it
Jonas Wind put Sporting Braga ahead in the 83rd minute, set up by Gorby.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Ferro of Estoril was sent off in the 63rd minute for a second yellow card. The referee, D. Oliveira Silva, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Sporting Braga and 3 to Estoril.
Sporting Braga: C. Vicens, 3-4-3 · Estoril: V. Lopes Matos, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.82 for Sporting Braga and 1.98 for Estoril.
Estoril left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Estoril created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 0.82, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Sporting Braga had 7 shots on target, Estoril 1.
Estoril's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Sporting Braga had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sporting Braga came into it with 8 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 0.88 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Estoril came into it with 8 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 0.92 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Sporting Braga vs Estoril: the match in numbers
| Sporting Braga | Match statistics | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 0.82 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.98 |
| 20 | Total shots | 12 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 626 | Total passes | 460 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 17 | Tackles | 14 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gustaf Lagerbielke (Sporting Braga), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Sporting Braga
- Gustaf Lagerbielke 7.9
- João Moutinho 7.7
- Jovan Milosevic 7.6
- Jonas Wind 7.5 1 goal
- Gorby 7.4 1 assist
Estoril
- Ricard Sánchez 7.6
- Jordan Holsgrove 7.4
- Joel Robles 7.2
- Ismael Sierra 7.2
- Nail Omerovic 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Ferro at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sporting Braga: Nacional vs Sporting Braga Sunday 25 October 2026 · Liga Portugal
- Estoril: Estoril vs Moreirense Sunday 25 October 2026 · Liga Portugal
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sporting Braga vs Estoril
What was the score in Sporting Braga vs Estoril?
Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Monday 14 September 2026.
Who scored in Sporting Braga vs Estoril?
Jonas Wind 83'.
Did Moneyball predict Sporting Braga vs Estoril correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Sporting Braga vs Estoril?
Gustaf Lagerbielke, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sporting Braga vs Estoril?
D. Oliveira Silva.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
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