Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Unión Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Unión Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto

Unión Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto: Unión Santa Fe took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 8 on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at Estadio 15 de Abril. The goals: Leonel Mosevich 13', Brahian Cuello 25', Cristian Tarragona 48', Misael Aguirre 74', Hernán de la Fuente 87'.

How Unión Santa Fe won it

The opening goal came in the 13th minute: Leonel Mosevich for Instituto, set up by Alex Luna. Unión Santa Fe levelled at 1-1 in the 25th minute through Brahian Cuello, set up by Juan Pintado. Unión Santa Fe turned it round: Cristian Tarragona made it 2-1 in the 48th minute, set up by Brahian Cuello. Misael Aguirre made it 3-1 to Unión Santa Fe in the 74th minute, set up by Lucas Menossi. Hernán de la Fuente made it 3-2 to Instituto in the 87th minute, set up by Alex Luna.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

Cristian Tarragona of Unión Santa Fe was sent off in the 90th minute. Matías Gallardo of Instituto was sent off in the 90th minute (+6) for a second yellow card. The referee, N. Lamolina, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Unión Santa Fe and 4 to Instituto.

Unión Santa Fe: L. Madelón, 4-4-2 · Instituto: D. Flores, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.95 for Unión Santa Fe and 0.65 for Instituto.

Unión Santa Fe scored about 2.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Instituto made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.

Unión Santa Fe had 4 shots on target, Instituto 2.

Instituto had 57% of the ball, but Unión Santa Fe took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Unión Santa Fe came into it with 31 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and 1.38 against, and had won 32% of their matches.

Instituto came into it with 29 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 0.80 against, and had won 52% of their matches.

Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto: the match in numbers

Unión Santa FeMatch statisticsInstituto
43%Ball possession57%
0.95Expected goals (xG)0.65
9Total shots11
4Shots on target2
2Big chances0
313Total passes411
71%Pass accuracy75%
2Corners7
6Fouls12
3Offsides0
16Tackles17
0Saves1
1Yellow cards5
1Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Brahian Cuello (Unión Santa Fe), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Unión Santa Fe

Instituto

The lowest-rated starter was Marcos Ledesma at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto

What was the score in Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto?

Unión Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto (half-time 1-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 8 September 2026.

Who scored in Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto?

Leonel Mosevich 13', Brahian Cuello 25', Cristian Tarragona 48', Misael Aguirre 74', Hernán de la Fuente 87'.

Did Moneyball predict Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto?

Brahian Cuello, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Unión Santa Fe vs Instituto?

N. Lamolina.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.