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Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield won 1-0 at home to Independiente in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 3 on Monday 3 August 2026. The goals: Thiago Aguirre 70'.

How Vélez Sarsfield won it

The opening goal came in the 70th minute: Thiago Aguirre for Vélez Sarsfield.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, L. Rey Hilfer, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to Vélez Sarsfield and 2 to Independiente.

Vélez Sarsfield: G. Barros Schelotto, 4-2-3-1 · Independiente: G. Quinteros Desábato, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.41 for Vélez Sarsfield and 1.14 for Independiente.

Independiente left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Vélez Sarsfield had 4 shots on target, Independiente 1.

Vélez Sarsfield had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vélez Sarsfield came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.34 against, and had won 43% of their matches.

Independiente came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.17 against, and had won 37% of their matches.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: the match in numbers

Vélez SarsfieldMatch statisticsIndependiente
54%Ball possession46%
0.41Expected goals (xG)1.14
12Total shots11
4Shots on target1
2Big chances0
437Total passes375
77%Pass accuracy75%
4Corners4
17Fouls13
2Offsides1
22Tackles22
2Saves2
3Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Thiago Aguirre (Vélez Sarsfield), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

The lowest-rated starter was Matías Abaldo at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente

What was the score in Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Monday 3 August 2026.

Who scored in Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

Thiago Aguirre 70'.

Did Moneyball predict Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

Thiago Aguirre, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

L. Rey Hilfer.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.