Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14
Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday 26 October 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero · updated 2026-10-25
Central Cordoba SdE welcome Vélez Sarsfield to Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14 action on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC.
Central Cordoba SdE have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 21% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 14 matches, with a 83% win rate. Vélez Sarsfield have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 43% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 14 matches, with a 31% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Vélez Sarsfield are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 29% and Central Cordoba SdE at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Central Cordoba SdE 0.97, Vélez Sarsfield 1.38.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Central Cordoba SdE: form and key numbers
In style Central Cordoba SdE are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.91 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.4).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 44.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 28% of matches (63% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Vélez Sarsfield: form and key numbers
In style Vélez Sarsfield keep the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.34 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 53.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 37% of matches (36% away).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield: season averages side by side
| Central Cordoba SdE | Per match this season | Vélez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Matches | 30 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.34 |
| 10.9 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 3.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 44.2 | Possession % | 53.7 |
| 28% | Clean sheets % | 37% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 53% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Central Cordoba SdE
- Yuri Casermeiro CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 50 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 12% of his position)
- Darío Cáceres LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 44 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 23% of his position)
Vélez Sarsfield
- Ronaldo Martínez CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 56 · Accurate shooter, Clinical finisher (top 15% of his position)
- Diego Valdés AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alejandro Maciel
Alejandro Maciel, 29 · Central Cordoba SdE · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 47
Alejandro Maciel, 29, plays as a centre-back for Central Cordoba SdE in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in long balls and clearances. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 47
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 4.70 / 90 | 92% |
| Clearances | 8.26 / 90 | 89% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.96 / 90 | 71% |
| Tackles | 2.07 / 90 | 69% |
| Duels won | 5.70 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Box defender.
- What Alejandro Maciel is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alejandro Maciel's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield prediction
Vélez Sarsfield should have more of the ball, with Central Cordoba SdE likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Central Cordoba SdE like to take players on; Vélez Sarsfield are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 0.97 for Central Cordoba SdE and 1.38 for Vélez Sarsfield - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 47%. Vélez Sarsfield have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Central Cordoba SdE 0-2 Vélez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield betting tips
- Tip 1: Vélez Sarsfield win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.35 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Huracán vs Tigre Friday 30 October 2026
Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield: questions and answers
When is Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield is on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14.
Where is Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield played?
At Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero, Central Cordoba SdE's home ground.
Who will win Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Vélez Sarsfield are the favourites: Central Cordoba SdE 26%, draw 29%, Vélez Sarsfield 45%. Our prediction is Central Cordoba SdE 0-2 Vélez Sarsfield.
Who is the player to watch in Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Alejandro Maciel of Central Cordoba SdE: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 47 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.