Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm

Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm: Al Ahli took the points in Saudi Pro League Matchday 7 on Friday 11 September 2026 at Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium. The goals: Ahmed Al-Nakhli 2', Francisco Trincão 21', Ivan Toney 32', Ivan Toney 45'.

How Al Ahli won it

Al Hazm struck first through Ahmed Al-Nakhli in the 2nd minute, set up by Elton Acolatse. Al Ahli levelled at 1-1 in the 21st minute through Francisco Trincão, set up by Ivan Toney. Al Ahli turned it round: Ivan Toney from the penalty spot made it 2-1 in the 32nd minute. Ivan Toney made it 3-1 to Al Ahli in the 45th minute.

It was 3-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

Ivan Toney scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, K. Al Teris, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Al Ahli and 1 to Al Hazm. Ivan Toney missed a penalty for Al Ahli in the 49 minute.

Al Ahli: M. Pusic, 4-1-4-1 · Al Hazm: J. Kadri, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.95 for Al Ahli and 5.50 for Al Hazm.

Al Ahli scored about 1.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Al Hazm left about 4.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Al Hazm created the better chances, 5.50 xG to 1.95, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Al Ahli had 8 shots on target, Al Hazm 3.

Al Ahli had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Al Ahli came into it with 10 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.39 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Al Hazm came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm: the match in numbers

Al AhliMatch statisticsAl Hazm
51%Ball possession49%
1.95Expected goals (xG)5.50
23Total shots18
8Shots on target3
9Big chances2
404Total passes397
85%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners4
19Fouls14
3Offsides0
25Tackles13
2Saves3
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ivan Toney (Al Ahli), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.

Al Ahli

Al Hazm

The lowest-rated starter was Saud Al-Rashid at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Al Ahli vs Al Hazm

What was the score in Al Ahli vs Al Hazm?

Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm (half-time 3-1), Saudi Pro League, Friday 11 September 2026.

Who scored in Al Ahli vs Al Hazm?

Ahmed Al-Nakhli 2', Francisco Trincão 21', Ivan Toney 32', Ivan Toney 45'.

Did Moneyball predict Al Ahli vs Al Hazm correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Al Ahli vs Al Hazm?

Ivan Toney, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Al Ahli vs Al Hazm?

K. Al Teris.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.