Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 29 October 2026 · 14:35 UTC · EGO STADIUM, Ad Dammām · updated 2026-10-25
Al Khaleej welcome Al Hazm to EGO STADIUM in Ad Dammām in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 14:35 UTC.
Al Khaleej have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Al Hazm have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Khaleej are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 29% and Al Hazm at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Khaleej 1.36, Al Hazm 1.10.
- Over 2.5 goals: 44% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Al Khaleej: form and key numbers
In style Al Khaleej play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.2).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Al Hazm: form and key numbers
In style Al Hazm are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.08 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 9.6 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm: season averages side by side
| Al Khaleej | Per match this season | Al Hazm |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.08 |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| 9.3 | Shots | 9.6 |
| 2.8 | On target | 3.5 |
| 47.5 | Possession % | 44.4 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Al Khaleej
- Marwan Al-Haidari GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 20 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 41% of his position)
- Joshua King CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 18 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 14% of his position)
Al Hazm
- Amir Sayoud AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 31 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 15% of his position)
- Ibrahim Zaied GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 25 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 52% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Pedro Rebocho
Pedro Rebocho, 31 · Al Khaleej · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 19
Pedro Rebocho, 31, plays as a full-back for Al Khaleej in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 19
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 0.91 / 90 | 69% |
| Key passes | 1.31 / 90 | 54% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.81 / 90 | 49% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.12 / 90 | 38% |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 24% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- What Pedro Rebocho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Pedro Rebocho's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm prediction
Al Khaleej should have more of the ball; Al Khaleej go long and direct; Al Hazm like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.36 for Al Khaleej and 1.10 for Al Hazm - with over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%. Al Khaleej have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Khaleej 2-0 Al Hazm
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm betting tips
- Tip 1: Al Khaleej win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.45 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Abha vs Al Faisaly Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
- Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly Saturday 31 October 2026
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm: questions and answers
When is Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm?
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm is on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 14:35 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm played?
At EGO STADIUM, Ad Dammām, Al Khaleej's home ground.
Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm?
Al Khaleej are the favourites: Al Khaleej 42%, draw 29%, Al Hazm 29%. Our prediction is Al Khaleej 2-0 Al Hazm.
Who is the player to watch in Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm?
Pedro Rebocho of Al Khaleej: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 19 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.