Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli

Al-Qadsiah won 3-2 at home to Al Ahli in Saudi Pro League Matchday 6 on Tuesday 8 September 2026. The goals: Tijjani Reijnders 14', Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat 45+1', Tijjani Reijnders 45+3', Ivan Toney 63', Ivan Toney 82'.

How Al-Qadsiah won it

Al-Qadsiah struck first through Tijjani Reijnders in the 14th minute, set up by Musab Al-Juwayr. Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat made it 2-0 to Al-Qadsiah in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Christopher Bonsu Baah. Tijjani Reijnders made it 3-0 to Al-Qadsiah in the 45th minute (+3), set up by Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat. Ivan Toney made it 3-1 to Al Ahli in the 63rd minute, set up by Francisco Trincão. Ivan Toney made it 3-2 to Al Ahli in the 82nd minute, set up by Saleh Abu Al-Shamat.

It was 3-0 at half-time.

Tijjani Reijnders scored twice.

Ivan Toney scored twice.

The referee, I. Elfath, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Al-Qadsiah and 1 to Al Ahli.

Al-Qadsiah: B. Rodgers, 3-4-2-1 · Al Ahli: M. Pusic, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.24 for Al-Qadsiah and 1.87 for Al Ahli.

Al-Qadsiah scored about 1.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Al-Qadsiah had 7 shots on target, Al Ahli 5.

Al-Qadsiah had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Al-Qadsiah came into it with 11 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 2.16 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 73% of their matches.

Al Ahli came into it with 10 Saudi Pro League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.39 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli: the match in numbers

Al-QadsiahMatch statisticsAl Ahli
56%Ball possession44%
1.24Expected goals (xG)1.87
11Total shots8
7Shots on target5
7Big chances2
509Total passes394
86%Pass accuracy82%
6Corners5
16Fouls21
0Offsides1
13Tackles21
3Saves4
4Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ivan Toney (Al Ahli), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Al-Qadsiah

Al Ahli

The lowest-rated starter was Gastón Álvarez at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli

What was the score in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli (half-time 3-0), Saudi Pro League, Tuesday 8 September 2026.

Who scored in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

Tijjani Reijnders 14', Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat 45+1', Tijjani Reijnders 45+3', Ivan Toney 63', Ivan Toney 82'.

Did Moneyball predict Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

Ivan Toney, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

I. Elfath.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.