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Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento

Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento: Sarmiento took the points in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 12 on Friday 9 October 2026 at Estadio José María Minella. The goals: Junior Marabel 18', Lucas Castro 20', Julián Mavilla 86', Jonathan Herrera 89'.

How Sarmiento won it

Junior Marabel put Sarmiento ahead in the 18th minute, set up by Jhon Rentería. Aldosivi levelled at 1-1 in the 20th minute through Lucas Castro, set up by Martín García. Julián Mavilla made it 1-2 to Sarmiento in the 86th minute, set up by Jonathan Herrera. Jonathan Herrera made it 1-3 to Sarmiento in the 89th minute, set up by Thyago Ayala.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, L. Lobo Medina, showed 9 yellow cards: 6 to Aldosivi and 3 to Sarmiento.

Aldosivi: J. Sanguinetti, 4-4-1-1 · Sarmiento: F. Sava, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.41 for Aldosivi and 1.09 for Sarmiento.

Sarmiento made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.9 goals.

Aldosivi had 3 shots on target, Sarmiento 3.

Sarmiento had 51% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Aldosivi came into it with 29 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.91 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 7% of their matches.

Sarmiento came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.02 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento: the match in numbers

AldosiviMatch statisticsSarmiento
49%Ball possession51%
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.09
14Total shots14
3Shots on target3
2Big chances3
321Total passes349
66%Pass accuracy72%
6Corners1
17Fouls15
1Offsides0
18Tackles16
0Saves3
5Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Julián Mavilla (Sarmiento), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Aldosivi

Sarmiento

The lowest-rated starter was Ulises Giménez at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Aldosivi vs Sarmiento

What was the score in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?

Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento (half-time 1-1), Liga Profesional Argentina, Friday 9 October 2026.

Who scored in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?

Junior Marabel 18', Lucas Castro 20', Julián Mavilla 86', Jonathan Herrera 89'.

Did Moneyball predict Aldosivi vs Sarmiento correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?

Julián Mavilla, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Aldosivi vs Sarmiento?

L. Lobo Medina.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.