Aldosivi vs Belgrano Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata · updated 2026-10-25
Aldosivi welcome Belgrano to Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Aldosivi have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 7% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 14 matches, with a 100% win rate. Belgrano have played 33 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 48% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 17 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Belgrano are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 29% and Aldosivi at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Aldosivi 0.89, Belgrano 1.40.
- Over 2.5 goals: 40% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 33 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Aldosivi: form and key numbers
In style Aldosivi are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.91 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.3).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 21% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 52% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Belgrano: form and key numbers
In style Belgrano play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.20 a match created, 1.29 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 48% of matches (63% away).
- Both teams scored in 39% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 6.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Aldosivi vs Belgrano: season averages side by side
| Aldosivi | Per match this season | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Matches | 33 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.20 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 1.29 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 3.4 | On target | 4.1 |
| 43.6 | Possession % | 51.1 |
| 21% | Clean sheets % | 48% |
| 52% | Both teams scored % | 39% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.74 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
Aldosivi
- Andrés Vombergar CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 60 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Guillermo Enrique RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 5% of his position)
Belgrano
- Lisandro López CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 45 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 10% of his position)
- Alcides Benítez RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 45 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nicolás Zalazar
Nicolás Zalazar, 29 · Aldosivi · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 55
Nicolás Zalazar, 29, plays as a centre-back for Aldosivi in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in long balls and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 4.50 / 90 | 90% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.45 / 90 | 84% |
| Clearances | 7.95 / 90 | 83% |
| Duels won | 6.40 / 90 | 80% |
| Tackles | 2.10 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Dominant in the air, Box defender.
- What Nicolás Zalazar is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nicolás Zalazar's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Aldosivi vs Belgrano prediction
Belgrano should have more of the ball, with Aldosivi likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Aldosivi are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Belgrano like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 0.89 for Aldosivi and 1.40 for Belgrano - with over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 45%. Belgrano have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Aldosivi 0-2 Belgrano
Aldosivi vs Belgrano betting tips
- Tip 1: Belgrano win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 2.29 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 14.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Huracán vs Tigre Friday 30 October 2026
Aldosivi vs Belgrano: questions and answers
When is Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Aldosivi vs Belgrano is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14.
Where is Aldosivi vs Belgrano played?
At Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Aldosivi's home ground.
Who will win Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Belgrano are the favourites: Aldosivi 23%, draw 29%, Belgrano 48%. Our prediction is Aldosivi 0-2 Belgrano.
Who is the player to watch in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Nicolás Zalazar of Aldosivi: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 55 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.