Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora

Alverca and Estrela Amadora drew 2-2 in Liga Portugal Matchday 2 on Saturday 15 August 2026 at Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca. The goals: Leandro Antonetti  51', Ian Luccas 58', Vivaldo Semedo 62', Abraham Marcus 69'.

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 51st minute: Leandro Antonetti  for Estrela Amadora, set up by Rafa Soares. Alverca levelled at 1-1 in the 58th minute through Ian Luccas, set up by Isaac James. Alverca turned it round: Vivaldo Semedo made it 2-1 in the 62nd minute, set up by Rayan Lucas. Estrela Amadora levelled at 2-2 in the 69th minute through Abraham Marcus, set up by Rafa Soares.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira of Alverca was sent off in the 74th minute. The referee, J. Torres Bessa, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Alverca and 4 to Estrela Amadora.

Alverca: Sérgio Ferreira, 3-4-2-1 · Estrela Amadora: P. Marques da Costa Filipe, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.25 for Alverca and 1.45 for Estrela Amadora.

Alverca had 4 shots on target, Estrela Amadora 7.

Alverca's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Estrela Amadora had 54% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Alverca came into it with 9 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Estrela Amadora came into it with 9 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.52 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Alverca vs Estrela Amadora: the match in numbers

AlvercaMatch statisticsEstrela Amadora
46%Ball possession54%
1.25Expected goals (xG)1.45
14Total shots10
4Shots on target7
3Big chances5
330Total passes397
81%Pass accuracy84%
2Corners0
10Fouls12
2Offsides1
19Tackles14
5Saves2
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Abraham Marcus (Estrela Amadora), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Alverca

Estrela Amadora

The lowest-rated starter was Lovro Zvonarek at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Alverca vs Estrela Amadora

What was the score in Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?

Alverca 2-2 Estrela Amadora (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Saturday 15 August 2026.

Who scored in Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?

Leandro Antonetti  51', Ian Luccas 58', Vivaldo Semedo 62', Abraham Marcus 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Alverca vs Estrela Amadora correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?

Abraham Marcus, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Alverca vs Estrela Amadora?

J. Torres Bessa.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.