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Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest won 2-1 away at Aston Villa in Premier League Matchday 4 on Saturday 12 September 2026. The goals: Liam Delap 46', Alysson 74', Igor Jesus 88'.

How Nottingham Forest won it

Nottingham Forest struck first through Liam Delap in the 46th minute, set up by Murillo. Aston Villa levelled at 1-1 in the 74th minute through Alysson, set up by John McGinn . Igor Jesus made it 1-2 to Nottingham Forest in the 88th minute, set up by Morgan Gibbs-White.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, A. Madley, showed 7 yellow cards: 2 to Aston Villa and 5 to Nottingham Forest.

Aston Villa: U. Emery Etxegoien, 4-2-3-1 · Nottingham Forest: O. Glasner, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.27 for Aston Villa and 1.06 for Nottingham Forest.

Aston Villa scored about 1.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Aston Villa created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 1.06, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Aston Villa had 5 shots on target, Nottingham Forest 7.

Aston Villa's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Aston Villa had 54% of the ball, but Nottingham Forest took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Aston Villa came into it with 5 Premier League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 0.93 expected goals for and 1.77 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Nottingham Forest came into it with 5 Premier League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.50 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: the match in numbers

Aston VillaMatch statisticsNottingham Forest
54%Ball possession46%
2.27Expected goals (xG)1.06
7Total shots22
5Shots on target7
2Big chances6
421Total passes360
82%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners1
11Fouls16
0Offsides4
17Tackles23
5Saves5
2Yellow cards5

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

The lowest-rated starter was Emiliano Buendía at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

What was the score in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 12 September 2026.

Who scored in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Liam Delap 46', Alysson 74', Igor Jesus 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Morgan Gibbs-White, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

A. Madley.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.