Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Crystal Palace host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Crystal Palace 35%, the draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 36% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Crystal Palace 0 at 1.96, Nottingham Forest at 1.94. The main goals line is 2.5: over 2.04, under 1.84, which gives over 47%.
Form in numbers
- Nottingham Forest create more: 1.50 expected goals a match against 1.08 for Crystal Palace.
- Nottingham Forest give away less, 1.08 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Crystal Palace 10.6 (3.6 on target), Nottingham Forest 16.4 (3.4 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Crystal Palace 33.4%, Nottingham Forest 55.9%.
| Crystal Palace | Per match | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 2.25 | xG conceded | 1.08 |
| 1.20 | Goals | 0.80 |
| 10.6 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 3.6 | Shots on target | 3.4 |
| 2.6 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 33.4 | Pressure share % | 55.9 |
| 22.6 | Tackles | 18.2 |
| 9.6 | Fouls | 15.0 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Crystal Palace won 0, drew 3 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 1 | Crystal Palace |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 – 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 5 May 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 – 1 | Nottingham Forest |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 0 | Crystal Palace |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.