Athletico PR 2-2 Atlético Mineiro: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 29 · Thursday 8 October 2026 · Arena de Baixada, Curitiba · referee R. Abatti · full time
Full time: Athletico PR 2-2 Atlético Mineiro
Athletico PR and Atlético Mineiro drew 2-2 in Brasileirão Matchday 29 on Thursday 8 October 2026 at Arena de Baixada. The goals: Kerwin Vargas 8', Bernard 27', Kevin Viveros 90+3', Lyanco 90+7'.
How the match unfolded
Athletico PR struck first through Kerwin Vargas in the 8th minute, set up by Gilberto. Atlético Mineiro levelled at 1-1 in the 27th minute through Bernard. Kevin Viveros made it 2-1 to Athletico PR in the 90th minute (+3). Atlético Mineiro levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute (+7) through Lyanco, set up by Thiago Borbas. Late, and enough for a draw.
It was 1-1 at half-time.
Tomás Pérez of Atlético Mineiro was sent off in the 73rd minute. The referee, R. Abatti, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Athletico PR and 2 to Atlético Mineiro.
Athletico PR: O. Hellmann, 3-4-2-1 · Atlético Mineiro: E. Domínguez, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.20 for Athletico PR and 2.26 for Atlético Mineiro.
Atlético Mineiro created the better chances, 2.26 xG to 1.20, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Athletico PR had 10 shots on target, Atlético Mineiro 9.
Atlético Mineiro's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
Athletico PR had 51% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Athletico PR came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 47% of their matches.
Atlético Mineiro came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 45% of their matches.
Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro: the match in numbers
| Athletico PR | Match statistics | Atlético Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Ball possession | 49% |
| 1.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.26 |
| 31 | Total shots | 15 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 3 | Big chances | 2 |
| 501 | Total passes | 489 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Tackles | 9 |
| 7 | Saves | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gabriel Delfim (Atlético Mineiro), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Athletico PR
- Kerwin Vargas 7.8 1 goal
- Mycael 7.7
- Lucas Esquivel 7.7
- Kevin Viveros 7.4 1 goal
- João Cruz 7.2
Atlético Mineiro
- Gabriel Delfim 8.3
- Bernard 7.8 1 goal
- Renan Lodi 7.2
- Lyanco 7.2 1 goal
- Victor Hugo 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Carlos Terán at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Athletico PR: Grêmio vs Athletico PR Friday 30 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Atlético Mineiro: Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Monday 26 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro
What was the score in Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Athletico PR 2-2 Atlético Mineiro (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Thursday 8 October 2026.
Who scored in Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Kerwin Vargas 8', Bernard 27', Kevin Viveros 90+3', Lyanco 90+7'.
Did Moneyball predict Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
Gabriel Delfim, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?
R. Abatti.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.