Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 28 · Sunday 20 September 2026 · Arena de Baixada, Curitiba · referee A. Daronco · full time
Full time: Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia
Athletico PR beat Bahia 2-1 in Brasileirão Matchday 28 on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Arena de Baixada. The goals: Lucas Esquivel 16', Erick Pulga 26', Jorge Rivaldo 69'.
How Athletico PR won it
Athletico PR struck first through Lucas Esquivel in the 16th minute, set up by Kerwin Vargas. Bahia levelled at 1-1 in the 26th minute through Erick Pulga. Jorge Rivaldo made it 2-1 to Athletico PR in the 69th minute, set up by Kerwin Vargas.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Odair Hellmann of Athletico PR was sent off in the 90th minute (+6). The referee, A. Daronco, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Athletico PR and 3 to Bahia. Everaldo missed a penalty for Bahia in the 90 minute.
Athletico PR: O. Hellmann, 3-4-2-1 · Bahia: R. Mücke Ceni, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.35 for Athletico PR and 0.80 for Bahia.
Athletico PR had 6 shots on target, Bahia 3.
Athletico PR had 50% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Athletico PR came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 47% of their matches.
Bahia came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 41% of their matches.
Athletico PR vs Bahia: the match in numbers
| Athletico PR | Match statistics | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Ball possession | 50% |
| 1.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.80 |
| 11 | Total shots | 10 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 495 | Total passes | 513 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Tackles | 16 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Lucas Esquivel (Athletico PR), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Athletico PR
- Lucas Esquivel 8.3 1 goal
- Kerwin Vargas 7.9 2 assists
- Jorge Rivaldo 7.3 1 goal
- Stiven Mendoza 7.0
- Arthur Dias 7.0
Bahia
- Erick Pulga 7.3 1 goal
- Ronaldo 7.2
- Alejo Veliz 7.1
- Rodrigo Nestor 7.1
- Luciano Juba 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Ademir at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Athletico PR: Grêmio vs Athletico PR Friday 30 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Bahia: Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Athletico PR vs Bahia
What was the score in Athletico PR vs Bahia?
Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Sunday 20 September 2026.
Who scored in Athletico PR vs Bahia?
Lucas Esquivel 16', Erick Pulga 26', Jorge Rivaldo 69'.
Did Moneyball predict Athletico PR vs Bahia correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Athletico PR vs Bahia?
Lucas Esquivel, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Athletico PR vs Bahia?
A. Daronco.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.