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Bahia 0-3 Flamengo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Bahia 0-3 Flamengo

Bahia 0-3 Flamengo: Flamengo took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 31 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Arena Fonte Nova. The goals: Jorginho 64', Gonzalo Plata 73', Lucas Paquetá 78'.

How Flamengo won it

The opening goal came in the 64th minute: Jorginho from the penalty spot for Flamengo. Gonzalo Plata made it 0-2 to Flamengo in the 73rd minute, set up by Samuel Lino. Lucas Paquetá made it 0-3 to Flamengo in the 78th minute, set up by Guillermo Varela.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, W. Pereira Sampaio, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to Bahia and 2 to Flamengo.

Bahia: R. Mücke Ceni, 5-3-2 · Flamengo: J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.96 for Bahia and 0.50 for Flamengo.

Bahia scored about 3.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Flamengo made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.5 goals.

Bahia created the better chances, 2.96 xG to 0.50, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Bahia had 3 shots on target, Flamengo 15.

Bahia's goalkeeper made 11 saves.

Flamengo had 63% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bahia came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 41% of their matches.

Flamengo came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and 0.96 against, and had won 65% of their matches.

Bahia vs Flamengo: the match in numbers

BahiaMatch statisticsFlamengo
37%Ball possession63%
2.96Expected goals (xG)0.50
9Total shots21
3Shots on target15
1Big chances8
341Total passes573
82%Pass accuracy89%
4Corners14
12Fouls9
1Offsides3
14Tackles12
11Saves3
4Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ronaldo (Bahia), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Bahia

Flamengo

The lowest-rated starter was Marco Moreno at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bahia vs Flamengo

What was the score in Bahia vs Flamengo?

Bahia 0-3 Flamengo (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Bahia vs Flamengo?

Jorginho 64', Gonzalo Plata 73', Lucas Paquetá 78'.

Did Moneyball predict Bahia vs Flamengo correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Bahia vs Flamengo?

Ronaldo, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bahia vs Flamengo?

W. Pereira Sampaio.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.