Bahia 1-0 Mirassol: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 30 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador · referee R. Abatti · full time
Full time: Bahia 1-0 Mirassol
Bahia beat Mirassol 1-0 in Brasileirão Matchday 30 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Arena Fonte Nova. The goals: Luciano Juba 38'.
How Bahia won it
The opening goal came in the 38th minute: Luciano Juba from the penalty spot for Bahia.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, R. Abatti, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Bahia and 4 to Mirassol. Reinaldo missed a penalty for Mirassol in the 90 minute.
Bahia: R. Mücke Ceni, 4-3-3 · Mirassol: R. Silva Guanaes, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.66 for Bahia and 2.81 for Mirassol.
Mirassol left about 2.8 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Mirassol created the better chances, 2.81 xG to 1.66, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Bahia had 2 shots on target, Mirassol 2.
Bahia had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Bahia came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 41% of their matches.
Mirassol came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 28% of their matches.
Bahia vs Mirassol: the match in numbers
| Bahia | Match statistics | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.81 |
| 16 | Total shots | 10 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 507 | Total passes | 457 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 20 | Tackles | 12 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: David Duarte (Bahia), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Bahia
- David Duarte 7.9
- Luciano Juba 7.7 1 goal
- Rodrigo Nestor 7.6
- Marco Moreno 7.4
- Marcos Victor 7.2
Mirassol
- André Luis 7.1
- Neto Moura 7.1
- Willian Machado 7.0
- Igor Formiga 7.0
- Denilson 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Bruno Santos at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Bahia: Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Mirassol: Corinthians vs Mirassol Friday 30 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Bahia vs Mirassol
What was the score in Bahia vs Mirassol?
Bahia 1-0 Mirassol (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in Bahia vs Mirassol?
Luciano Juba 38'.
Did Moneyball predict Bahia vs Mirassol correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Bahia vs Mirassol?
David Duarte, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Bahia vs Mirassol?
R. Abatti.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
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