Bali United vs Bhayangkara Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11
Liga 1 Indonesia · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Bali · updated 2026-11-14
Bali United welcome Bhayangkara to Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta in Bali in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
Bali United have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 4.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 83% win rate. Bhayangkara have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Bali United are clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 18% and Bhayangkara at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bali United 2.41, Bhayangkara 0.98.
- Over 2.5 goals: 66% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Bali United: form and key numbers
In style Bali United keep the ball, cross a lot, take players on.
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 59.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Bhayangkara: form and key numbers
In style Bhayangkara keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 54.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.46.
Bali United vs Bhayangkara: season averages side by side
| Bali United | Per match this season | Bhayangkara |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.9 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 4.6 | On target | 4.7 |
| 59.4 | Possession % | 54.4 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.62 | Average rating | 6.46 |
Players to watch
Bali United
- Mike Hauptmeijer GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 7% of his position)
- Tim Geypens LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 4 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
Bhayangkara
- Fahri GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 23% of his position)
- Awan Setho Raharjo GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ricky Fajrin Saputra
Ricky Fajrin Saputra, 31 · Bali United · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 4
Ricky Fajrin Saputra, 31, plays as a full-back for Bali United in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 86% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 68% |
| Interceptions | 2.48 / 90 | 9% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.45 / 90 | 3% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.23 / 90 | 1% |
Roles he suits
- ★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Ricky Fajrin Saputra is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ricky Fajrin Saputra's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bali United vs Bhayangkara prediction
Bali United should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 2.41 for Bali United and 0.98 for Bhayangkara - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 57%. Bali United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Bali United 2-1 Bhayangkara
Bali United vs Bhayangkara: what the numbers say
- 1. Bali United win, the likeliest result 68% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 66% by the model, 3.39 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Bali United vs Bhayangkara: questions and answers
When is Bali United vs Bhayangkara?
Bali United vs Bhayangkara is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11.
Where is Bali United vs Bhayangkara played?
At Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Bali, Bali United's home ground.
Who will win Bali United vs Bhayangkara?
Bali United are the favourites: Bali United 68%, draw 18%, Bhayangkara 13%. Our prediction is Bali United 2-1 Bhayangkara.
Who is the player to watch in Bali United vs Bhayangkara?
Ricky Fajrin Saputra of Bali United: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs Bhayangkara?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.