Birmingham City 4-0 Preston North End: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 10 · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham · referee S. Allison · full time
Full time: Birmingham City 4-0 Preston North End
Birmingham City 4-0 Preston North End: Birmingham City took the points in Championship Matchday 10 on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at St. Andrew's Stadium. The goals: Liam Millar 34', August Priske Flyger 45+2', August Priske Flyger 45+4', Demarai Gray 76'.
How Birmingham City won it
The opening goal came in the 34th minute: Liam Millar for Birmingham City, set up by Patrick Roberts. August Priske Flyger made it 2-0 to Birmingham City in the 45th minute (+2), set up by Alex Cochrane. August Priske Flyger made it 3-0 to Birmingham City in the 45th minute (+4), set up by Jay Stansfield. Demarai Gray made it 4-0 to Birmingham City in the 76th minute, set up by Max Bird.
It was 3-0 at half-time.
August Priske Flyger scored twice.
Stanley Mills of Preston North End was sent off in the 56th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, S. Allison, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Birmingham City and 1 to Preston North End.
Birmingham City: C. Davies, 4-2-3-1 · Preston North End: G. Alexander, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.76 for Birmingham City and 2.37 for Preston North End.
Birmingham City scored about 3.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Preston North End left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Preston North End created the better chances, 2.37 xG to 0.76, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Birmingham City had 7 shots on target, Preston North End 1.
Birmingham City had 76% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Birmingham City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 42% of their matches.
Preston North End came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 8% of their matches.
Birmingham City vs Preston North End: the match in numbers
| Birmingham City | Match statistics | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| 76% | Ball possession | 24% |
| 0.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.37 |
| 19 | Total shots | 6 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 665 | Total passes | 201 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Tackles | 16 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: August Priske Flyger (Birmingham City), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Birmingham City
- August Priske Flyger 8.4 2 goals
- Alex Cochrane 8.4 1 assist
- Christoph Klarer 8.0
- Liam Millar 7.8 1 goal
- Bright Osayi-Samuel 7.6
Preston North End
- Jordan Storey 6.8
- Callum Lang 6.8
- Léo Leroy 6.7
- Delano Burgzorg 6.5
- Lewis Gibson 6.5
The lowest-rated starter was Stanley Mills at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Birmingham City: Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
- Preston North End: Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Birmingham City vs Preston North End
What was the score in Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
Birmingham City 4-0 Preston North End (half-time 3-0), Championship, Tuesday 13 October 2026.
Who scored in Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
Liam Millar 34', August Priske Flyger 45+2', August Priske Flyger 45+4', Demarai Gray 76'.
Did Moneyball predict Birmingham City vs Preston North End correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
August Priske Flyger, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Birmingham City vs Preston North End?
S. Allison.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.