Stoke City vs Preston North End Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Bet365 Stadium, Stoke · updated 2026-10-25
Stoke City welcome Preston North End to Bet365 Stadium in Stoke in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Stoke City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Preston North End have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 8% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Stoke City are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 25% and Preston North End at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Stoke City 1.72, Preston North End 1.04.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Stoke City: form and key numbers
In style Stoke City are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.3).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Preston North End: form and key numbers
In style Preston North End are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.0).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Stoke City vs Preston North End: season averages side by side
| Stoke City | Per match this season | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.1 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 1.57 | xG conceded | 1.63 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 3.5 | On target | 2.7 |
| 45.8 | Possession % | 40.5 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Stoke City
- Sorba Thomas LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 40 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Luca Bombino LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 40 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Preston North End
- Jordan Storey CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Reads the game, Disciplined (top 5% of his position)
- Liam Lindsay CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 36 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Andrija Vukcevic
Andrija Vukcevic, 30 · Preston North End · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 38
Andrija Vukcevic, 30, plays as a full-back for Preston North End in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected assists (est.). Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 38
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 31
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 31
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.28 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.22 / 90 | 92% |
| Key passes | 1.56 / 90 | 88% |
| Dribbled past | 0.28 / 90 | 83% |
| Tackles | 1.42 / 90 | 8% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Creator, Chance creator.
- What Andrija Vukcevic is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Andrija Vukcevic's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Stoke City vs Preston North End prediction
Stoke City should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.72 for Stoke City and 1.04 for Preston North End - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 54%. Stoke City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End
Stoke City vs Preston North End betting tips
- Tip 1: Stoke City win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.76 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Stoke City vs Preston North End: questions and answers
When is Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Stoke City vs Preston North End is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Stoke City vs Preston North End played?
At Bet365 Stadium, Stoke, Stoke City's home ground.
Who will win Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Stoke City are the favourites: Stoke City 53%, draw 25%, Preston North End 22%. Our prediction is Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End.
Who is the player to watch in Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Andrija Vukcevic of Preston North End: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 38 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Preston North End?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.