Birmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 11 · Saturday 17 October 2026 · St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham · referee T. Kirk · full time
Full time: Birmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers
Birmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers: Birmingham City took the points in Championship Matchday 11 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at St. Andrew's Stadium. The goals: Liam Millar 27', Liam Millar 49', Demarai Gray 90+1'.
How Birmingham City won it
Liam Millar put Birmingham City ahead in the 27th minute, set up by Tomoki Iwata. Liam Millar made it 2-0 to Birmingham City in the 49th minute, set up by Tomoki Iwata. Demarai Gray made it 3-0 to Birmingham City in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Luis Vázquez.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
Liam Millar scored twice.
The referee, T. Kirk, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Birmingham City and 2 to Queens Park Rangers.
Birmingham City: C. Davies, 4-2-3-1 · Queens Park Rangers: J. Stéphan, 5-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.94 for Birmingham City and 1.43 for Queens Park Rangers.
Birmingham City scored about 2.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Queens Park Rangers left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Birmingham City had 5 shots on target, Queens Park Rangers 4.
Birmingham City had 52% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Birmingham City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 42% of their matches.
Queens Park Rangers came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 42% of their matches.
Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: the match in numbers
| Birmingham City | Match statistics | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 0.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 11 | Total shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 1 |
| 503 | Total passes | 445 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 19 | Tackles | 10 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Liam Millar (Birmingham City), rated 8.6 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Birmingham City
- Liam Millar 8.6 2 goals
- Tomoki Iwata 8.3 2 assists
- Phil Neumann 7.9
- Christoph Klarer 7.8
- Demarai Gray 7.3 1 goal
Queens Park Rangers
- Ronnie Edwards 7.4
- Kwame Poku 6.7
- Leon Scarlett 6.7
- Jonathan Varane 6.6
- Jimmy Dunne 6.5
The lowest-rated starter was Boy Kemper at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Birmingham City: Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
- Queens Park Rangers: Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers
What was the score in Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Birmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers (half-time 1-0), Championship, Saturday 17 October 2026.
Who scored in Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Liam Millar 27', Liam Millar 49', Demarai Gray 90+1'.
Did Moneyball predict Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
Liam Millar, rated 8.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers?
T. Kirk.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.