Borneo vs Persik Kediri Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11
Liga 1 Indonesia · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stadion Segiri, Samarinda · updated 2026-11-15
Borneo welcome Persik Kediri to Stadion Segiri in Samarinda in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Borneo have played 8 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Persik Kediri have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Borneo are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 29% and Persik Kediri at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Borneo 1.34, Persik Kediri 0.94.
- Over 2.5 goals: 40% · both teams to score: 46%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Borneo: form and key numbers
In style Borneo press high, cross a lot, take players on.
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.60.
Persik Kediri: form and key numbers
In style Persik Kediri keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Shots: 7.8 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.51.
Borneo vs Persik Kediri: season averages side by side
| Borneo | Per match this season | Persik Kediri |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 7.8 |
| 4.0 | On target | 3.0 |
| 51.3 | Possession % | 58.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 63% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 7.2 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.60 | Average rating | 6.51 |
Players to watch
Borneo
- Hugo Samir RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 11 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 96% of his position)
- Kadú GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 11 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
Persik Kediri
- Husna Al Malik GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 11 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 6% of his position)
- Bayu Otto CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 81% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sergio Castel
Sergio Castel, 31 · Persik Kediri · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 11
Sergio Castel, 31, plays as a centre-forward for Persik Kediri in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 11
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | – | 53% |
| Shots on target | 33% | 36% |
| Big chances missed | 0.27 / 90 | 3% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.20 / 90 | 3% |
| Expected goals | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ½ Target man Centre-forward
- What Sergio Castel is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sergio Castel's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borneo vs Persik Kediri prediction
Persik Kediri should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.34 for Borneo and 0.94 for Persik Kediri - with over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 46%. Borneo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Borneo 2-0 Persik Kediri
Borneo vs Persik Kediri: what the numbers say
- 1. Borneo unbeaten (win or draw) 74% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 60% by the model, 2.28 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 12.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Borneo vs Persik Kediri: questions and answers
When is Borneo vs Persik Kediri?
Borneo vs Persik Kediri is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11.
Where is Borneo vs Persik Kediri played?
At Stadion Segiri, Samarinda, Borneo's home ground.
Who will win Borneo vs Persik Kediri?
Borneo are the favourites: Borneo 45%, draw 29%, Persik Kediri 26%. Our prediction is Borneo 2-0 Persik Kediri.
Who is the player to watch in Borneo vs Persik Kediri?
Sergio Castel of Persik Kediri: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 11 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borneo vs Persik Kediri?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 40%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.