Borneo vs Persita Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 6
Liga 1 Indonesia · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Segiri, Samarinda · updated 2026-11-13
Borneo welcome Persita to Stadion Segiri in Samarinda in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 6 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
Borneo have played 8 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Persita have played 8 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Persita are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Borneo at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Borneo 1.23, Persita 1.58.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Borneo: form and key numbers
In style Borneo press high, cross a lot, take players on.
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Persita: form and key numbers
In style Persita are happy without the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Shots: 8.1 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 40.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 88% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.54.
Borneo vs Persita: season averages side by side
| Borneo | Per match this season | Persita |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 8.1 |
| 4.0 | On target | 3.5 |
| 50.5 | Possession % | 40.3 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 63% | Both teams scored % | 88% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.57 | Average rating | 6.54 |
Players to watch
Borneo
- Kadú GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Iago Mendonça CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 3 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 44% of his position)
Persita
- Igor Rodrigues GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 11% of his position)
- Alexandre Ramalingom CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 3 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 47% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aditya Warman
Aditya Warman, 21 · Borneo · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 4
Aditya Warman, 21, plays as a defensive midfielder for Borneo in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 4
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 75% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 32% |
| Blocked shots | 0.91 / 90 | 19% |
| Interceptions | 1.82 / 90 | 2% |
| Tackles | 0.00 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- What Aditya Warman is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aditya Warman's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borneo vs Persita prediction
Borneo should have more of the ball, with Persita likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.23 for Borneo and 1.58 for Persita - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. Persita have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Borneo 1-2 Persita
Borneo vs Persita: what the numbers say
- 1. Persita unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.81 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 10.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Borneo vs Persita: questions and answers
When is Borneo vs Persita?
Borneo vs Persita is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 6.
Where is Borneo vs Persita played?
At Stadion Segiri, Samarinda, Borneo's home ground.
Who will win Borneo vs Persita?
Persita are the favourites: Borneo 29%, draw 26%, Persita 45%. Our prediction is Borneo 1-2 Persita.
Who is the player to watch in Borneo vs Persita?
Aditya Warman of Borneo: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borneo vs Persita?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.