Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburger SV 2-0 in Bundesliga Matchday 1 on Saturday 29 August 2026 at Signal Iduna Park. The goals: Serhou Guirassy 9', Giannis Konstantelias 45+1'.

How Borussia Dortmund won it

Serhou Guirassy put Borussia Dortmund ahead in the 9th minute, set up by Konstantinos Karetsas. Giannis Konstantelias made it 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Maximilian Beier.

It was 2-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

Samuele Inácio of Borussia Dortmund was sent off in the 77th minute. The referee, F. Zwayer, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Borussia Dortmund and 1 to Hamburger SV.

Borussia Dortmund: N. Kovač, 3-4-3 · Hamburger SV: M. Polzin, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.84 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.65 for Hamburger SV.

Borussia Dortmund scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Hamburger SV left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Hamburger SV created the better chances, 1.65 xG to 0.84, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Borussia Dortmund had 7 shots on target, Hamburger SV 3.

Hamburger SV's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Borussia Dortmund had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Borussia Dortmund came into it with 5 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 0.90 against, and had won 80% of their matches.

Hamburger SV came into it with 4 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 3.3 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: the match in numbers

Borussia DortmundMatch statisticsHamburger SV
56%Ball possession44%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.65
20Total shots8
7Shots on target3
0Big chances2
538Total passes419
88%Pass accuracy81%
3Corners1
13Fouls19
1Offsides1
14Tackles13
3Saves5
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Konstantinos Karetsas (Borussia Dortmund), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

The lowest-rated starter was Jordan Torunarigha at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

What was the score in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV (half-time 2-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 29 August 2026.

Who scored in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

Serhou Guirassy 9', Giannis Konstantelias 45+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

Konstantinos Karetsas, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?

F. Zwayer.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.