Botafogo 3-2 Grêmio: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 21 · Wednesday 16 September 2026 · Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro · referee E. Alves Batista · full time
Full time: Botafogo 3-2 Grêmio
Botafogo won 3-2 at home to Grêmio in Brasileirão Matchday 21 on Wednesday 16 September 2026. The goals: Danilo 30', Jovane Cabral 36', Álvaro Montoro 52', Danilo 79', Gustavo Martins 88'.
How Botafogo won it
Danilo put Botafogo ahead in the 30th minute, set up by Álvaro Montoro. Grêmio levelled at 1-1 in the 36th minute through Jovane Cabral. Álvaro Montoro made it 2-1 to Botafogo in the 52nd minute, set up by Vitinho. Danilo made it 3-1 to Botafogo in the 79th minute, set up by Álvaro Montoro. Gustavo Martins made it 3-2 to Grêmio in the 88th minute, set up by Tetê.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Danilo scored twice.
The referee, E. Alves Batista, showed 2 yellow cards: 2 to Botafogo and 0 to Grêmio.
Botafogo: R. Aragonez Glória, 4-2-3-1 · Grêmio: L. Scolari, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.64 for Botafogo and 1.04 for Grêmio.
Botafogo scored about 2.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Botafogo had 7 shots on target, Grêmio 3.
Grêmio had 64% of the ball, but Botafogo took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Botafogo came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 31% of their matches.
Grêmio came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 23% of their matches.
Botafogo vs Grêmio: the match in numbers
| Botafogo | Match statistics | Grêmio |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 0.64 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 10 | Total shots | 13 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 1 |
| 371 | Total passes | 647 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 88% |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 12 | Tackles | 10 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 2 assists.
Botafogo
- Álvaro Montoro 8.8 1 goal, 2 assists
- Danilo 8.3 2 goals
- Vitinho 7.5 1 assist
- Huguinho 7.1
- Alex Telles 6.8
Grêmio
- Jovane Cabral 7.5 1 goal
- Gustavo Martins 7.5 1 goal
- Cristian Pavón 7.1
- Tetê 7.0 1 assist
- Filip Krovinovic 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Gabriel Batista at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Botafogo: Remo vs Botafogo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Grêmio: Coritiba vs Grêmio Monday 26 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Botafogo vs Grêmio
What was the score in Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Botafogo 3-2 Grêmio (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Wednesday 16 September 2026.
Who scored in Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Danilo 30', Jovane Cabral 36', Álvaro Montoro 52', Danilo 79', Gustavo Martins 88'.
Did Moneyball predict Botafogo vs Grêmio correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Botafogo vs Grêmio?
Álvaro Montoro, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Botafogo vs Grêmio?
E. Alves Batista.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.