Remo vs Botafogo Prediction and Betting Tips | Brasileirão Gameweek 33
Brasileirão · Thursday 29 October 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém · updated 2026-10-25
Remo welcome Botafogo to Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença in Belém in Brasileirão Gameweek 33 action on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC.
Remo have played 32 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 16% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 16 matches, with a 60% win rate. Botafogo have played 32 matches in Brasileirão this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 31% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 16 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Remo 34%, the draw 27%, Botafogo 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Remo 1.30, Botafogo 1.39.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (32 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Remo: form and key numbers
In style Remo are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 44.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 59% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Botafogo: form and key numbers
In style Botafogo play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.26 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 16% of matches (20% away).
- Both teams scored in 66% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Remo vs Botafogo: season averages side by side
| Remo | Per match this season | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Matches | 32 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 1.58 | xG conceded | 1.26 |
| 13.0 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 3.9 | On target | 5.2 |
| 44.0 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 16% |
| 59% | Both teams scored % | 66% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Remo
- Tchamba CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 3% of his position)
- João Pedro CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 48 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 5% of his position)
Botafogo
- Hakim Ziyech RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 67 · Press-resistant, Crosser (top 4% of his position)
- Raul GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 62 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Vitinho
Vitinho, 27 · Botafogo · RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 56
Vitinho, 27, plays as a full-back for Botafogo in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 56
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 43
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 42
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.16 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 1.25 / 90 | 92% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.66 / 90 | 79% |
| Dribbled past | 0.48 / 90 | 78% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.59 / 90 | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Creator, Chance creator.
- What Vitinho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Remo vs Botafogo prediction
Botafogo should have more of the ball; Remo go long and direct; Botafogo work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.30 for Remo and 1.39 for Botafogo - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Remo 1-1 Botafogo
Remo vs Botafogo betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.69 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 14.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Brasileirão previews
- Coritiba vs Grêmio Monday 26 October 2026
- Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Monday 26 October 2026
- Bragantino vs Chapecoense Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Santos vs Palmeiras Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Fluminense vs Internacional Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026
- Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Thursday 29 October 2026
- Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo Thursday 29 October 2026
Remo vs Botafogo: questions and answers
When is Remo vs Botafogo?
Remo vs Botafogo is on Thursday 29 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC, in Brasileirão Gameweek 33.
Where is Remo vs Botafogo played?
At Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém, Remo's home ground.
Who will win Remo vs Botafogo?
It is close: Remo 34%, draw 27%, Botafogo 38%. Our prediction is Remo 1-1 Botafogo.
Who is the player to watch in Remo vs Botafogo?
Vitinho of Botafogo: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 56 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Remo vs Botafogo?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.