Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio

Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio: Bragantino took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 24 on Sunday 23 August 2026 at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques. The goals: Gustavo Marques 90+5'.

How Bragantino won it

Gustavo Marques put Bragantino ahead in the 90th minute (+5), set up by Gustavo Neves. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, F. Fernandes de Lima, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Bragantino and 3 to Grêmio.

Bragantino: V. Carmo Mancini, 4-2-3-1 · Grêmio: L. Ribeiro de Castro, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.67 for Bragantino and 2.29 for Grêmio.

Grêmio left about 2.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Grêmio created the better chances, 2.29 xG to 0.67, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Bragantino had 4 shots on target, Grêmio 1.

Bragantino had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bragantino came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.46 expected goals for and 1.81 against, and had won 34% of their matches.

Grêmio came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 23% of their matches.

Bragantino vs Grêmio: the match in numbers

BragantinoMatch statisticsGrêmio
54%Ball possession46%
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.29
27Total shots14
4Shots on target1
4Big chances0
453Total passes406
90%Pass accuracy83%
8Corners5
9Fouls12
1Offsides1
12Tackles16
1Saves2
2Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gustavo Marques (Bragantino), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Bragantino

Grêmio

The lowest-rated starter was Isidro Pitta at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bragantino vs Grêmio

What was the score in Bragantino vs Grêmio?

Bragantino 1-0 Grêmio (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 23 August 2026.

Who scored in Bragantino vs Grêmio?

Gustavo Marques 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict Bragantino vs Grêmio correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Bragantino vs Grêmio?

Gustavo Marques, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bragantino vs Grêmio?

F. Fernandes de Lima.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.