Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Bristol City 0-2 Millwall: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Bristol City 0-2 Millwall

Bristol City 0-2 Millwall: Millwall took the points in Championship Matchday 1 on Saturday 15 August 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium. The goals: Josh Coburn 41', Josh Coburn 50'.

How Millwall won it

The opening goal came in the 41st minute: Josh Coburn for Millwall. Josh Coburn made it 0-2 to Millwall in the 50th minute, set up by Jenson Metcalfe.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Josh Coburn scored twice.

Adam Randell of Bristol City was sent off in the 36th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, L. Smith, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Bristol City and 2 to Millwall.

Bristol City: M. Skubala, 4-2-3-1 · Millwall: A. Neil, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 3.41 for Bristol City and 0.44 for Millwall.

Bristol City scored about 3.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Millwall made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.6 goals.

Bristol City created the better chances, 3.41 xG to 0.44, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Bristol City had 0 shots on target, Millwall 3.

Millwall had 66% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Bristol City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Millwall came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.85 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Bristol City vs Millwall: the match in numbers

Bristol CityMatch statisticsMillwall
34%Ball possession66%
3.41Expected goals (xG)0.44
8Total shots24
0Shots on target3
0Big chances5
263Total passes513
59%Pass accuracy83%
6Corners6
8Fouls12
1Offsides3
14Tackles15
2Saves0
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Josh Coburn (Millwall), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Bristol City

Millwall

The lowest-rated starter was Adam Randell at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Bristol City vs Millwall

What was the score in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Bristol City 0-2 Millwall (half-time 0-1), Championship, Saturday 15 August 2026.

Who scored in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Josh Coburn 41', Josh Coburn 50'.

Did Moneyball predict Bristol City vs Millwall correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Josh Coburn, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Bristol City vs Millwall?

L. Smith.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.