Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton · updated 2026-10-25
Bolton Wanderers welcome Bristol City to University of Bolton Stadium in Bolton in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Bolton Wanderers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Bristol City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Bolton Wanderers 37%, the draw 27%, Bristol City 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bolton Wanderers 1.42, Bristol City 1.40.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Bolton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Bolton Wanderers play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 2.00 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.4).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Bristol City: form and key numbers
In style Bristol City are happy without the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 1.40 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 45.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City: season averages side by side
| Bolton Wanderers | Per match this season | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 2.00 | xG conceded | 1.40 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 4.7 | On target | 4.0 |
| 49.3 | Possession % | 45.9 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Bolton Wanderers
- Rúben Rodrigues AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 53 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 14% of his position)
- Gavin Bazunu GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 49 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 23% of his position)
Bristol City
- Luke McNally CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 46 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 12% of his position)
- Rob Atkinson CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 45 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Chris Forino
Chris Forino, 26 · Bolton Wanderers · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56
Chris Forino, 26, plays as a centre-back for Bolton Wanderers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in fouls committed and duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 56
- DM · Defensive midfielder Competent, 44
- LB · Full-back Competent, 27
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls committed | 0.33 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Tackles | 2.67 / 90 | 79% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.67 / 90 | 77% |
| Interceptions | 2.17 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Disciplined, Duel winner.
- What Chris Forino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Chris Forino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City prediction
Bolton Wanderers should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.42 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.40 for Bristol City - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol City
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.82 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City: questions and answers
When is Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City played?
At University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton, Bolton Wanderers's home ground.
Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
It is close: Bolton Wanderers 37%, draw 27%, Bristol City 36%. Our prediction is Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol City.
Who is the player to watch in Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
Chris Forino of Bolton Wanderers: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 56 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.