Celta de Vigo vs Levante Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 12
La Liga · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo · updated 2026-10-25
Celta de Vigo welcome Levante to Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo in La Liga Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Celta de Vigo have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Levante have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Celta de Vigo are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 27% and Levante at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Celta de Vigo 1.54, Levante 1.04.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Celta de Vigo: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.91 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.30 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.3).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Celta de Vigo vs Levante: season averages side by side
| Celta de Vigo | Per match this season | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.30 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 2.04 |
| 9.4 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 3.2 | On target | 4.6 |
| 49.8 | Possession % | 43.2 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 2.8 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Celta de Vigo
- Ionuț Radu GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 14% of his position)
- Javi Rueda RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 18% of his position)
Levante
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 64 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 27% of his position)
- Manu Sánchez LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso, 35 · Celta de Vigo · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 60
Marcos Alonso, 35, plays as a centre-back for Celta de Vigo in La Liga. Strongest for his role in passes and long balls. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 60
- LB · Full-back Competent, 23
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 83.00 / 90 | 96% |
| Long balls | 4.90 / 90 | 95% |
| Interceptions | 1.75 / 90 | 81% |
| Tackles | 1.93 / 90 | 77% |
| Clearances | 5.78 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Long passer, Reads the game.
- What Marcos Alonso is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcos Alonso's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Celta de Vigo vs Levante prediction
Celta de Vigo should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.54 for Celta de Vigo and 1.04 for Levante - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 51%. Celta de Vigo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Celta de Vigo 2-1 Levante
Celta de Vigo vs Levante betting tips
- Tip 1: Celta de Vigo win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 52% by the model, 2.58 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 6.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Monday 26 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Espanyol Friday 30 October 2026
- Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 31 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Málaga Saturday 31 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Saturday 31 October 2026
Celta de Vigo vs Levante: questions and answers
When is Celta de Vigo vs Levante?
Celta de Vigo vs Levante is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 12.
Where is Celta de Vigo vs Levante played?
At Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo, Celta de Vigo's home ground.
Who will win Celta de Vigo vs Levante?
Celta de Vigo are the favourites: Celta de Vigo 48%, draw 27%, Levante 25%. Our prediction is Celta de Vigo 2-1 Levante.
Who is the player to watch in Celta de Vigo vs Levante?
Marcos Alonso of Celta de Vigo: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Celta de Vigo vs Levante?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.