Cincinnati 4-2 SJ Earthquakes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Sunday 2 August 2026 · TQL Stadium · referee V. Rivas · full time
Full time: Cincinnati 4-2 SJ Earthquakes
Cincinnati won 4-2 at home to SJ Earthquakes in MLS on Sunday 2 August 2026. The goals: Daniel Munie 26', Bryan Ramírez 33', Timo Werner 56', Tom Barlow 79', Evander 82', Ayoub Jabbari 90+5'.
How Cincinnati won it
Daniel Munie put SJ Earthquakes ahead in the 26th minute, set up by Timo Werner. Cincinnati levelled at 1-1 in the 33rd minute through Bryan Ramírez, set up by Evander. Timo Werner made it 1-2 to SJ Earthquakes in the 56th minute, set up by Preston Judd. Cincinnati levelled at 2-2 in the 79th minute through Tom Barlow, set up by Evander. Cincinnati turned it round: Evander made it 3-2 in the 82nd minute, set up by Obinna Nwobodo. Ayoub Jabbari made it 4-2 to Cincinnati in the 90th minute (+5), set up by Tom Barlow.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, V. Rivas, showed 3 yellow cards: 3 to Cincinnati and 0 to SJ Earthquakes.
Cincinnati: P. Noonan, 3-4-1-2 · SJ Earthquakes: B. Arena, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.53 for Cincinnati and 2.28 for SJ Earthquakes.
Cincinnati scored about 2.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Cincinnati had 11 shots on target, SJ Earthquakes 2.
SJ Earthquakes's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Cincinnati had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Cincinnati came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.81 expected goals for and 1.61 against, and had won 35% of their matches.
SJ Earthquakes came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.42 against, and had won 42% of their matches.
Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes: the match in numbers
| Cincinnati | Match statistics | SJ Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Ball possession | 40% |
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.28 |
| 23 | Total shots | 12 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 5 | Big chances | 3 |
| 506 | Total passes | 330 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Tackles | 11 |
| 0 | Saves | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Evander (Cincinnati), rated 9.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 2 assists.
Cincinnati
- Evander 9.8 1 goal, 2 assists
- Tom Barlow 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
- Bryan Ramírez 7.8 1 goal
- Obinna Nwobodo 7.3 1 assist
- Ayoub Jabbari 7.1 1 goal
SJ Earthquakes
- Timo Werner 8.6 1 goal, 1 assist
- Angus Gunn 7.3
- Preston Judd 7.0 1 assist
- Ronaldo Vieira 6.9
- Ousseni Bouda 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Roman Celentano at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Cincinnati: Inter Miami vs Cincinnati Wednesday 28 October 2026 · MLS
- SJ Earthquakes: SJ Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Thursday 29 October 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes
What was the score in Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes?
Cincinnati 4-2 SJ Earthquakes (half-time 1-1), MLS, Sunday 2 August 2026.
Who scored in Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes?
Daniel Munie 26', Bryan Ramírez 33', Timo Werner 56', Tom Barlow 79', Evander 82', Ayoub Jabbari 90+5'.
Did Moneyball predict Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes?
Evander, rated 9.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Cincinnati vs SJ Earthquakes?
V. Rivas.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.