Crystal Palace vs Hull City Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 12
Premier League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 14:05 UTC · Selhurst Park, London · updated 2026-11-15
Crystal Palace welcome Hull City to Selhurst Park in London in Premier League Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:05 UTC.
Crystal Palace have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Hull City have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Hull City are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 26% and Crystal Palace at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.28, Hull City 1.58.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.42 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 43.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.96 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 33.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Crystal Palace vs Hull City: season averages side by side
| Crystal Palace | Per match this season | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 2.4 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 2.42 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 10.9 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 3.8 | On target | 3.1 |
| 43.1 | Possession % | 33.3 |
| 10% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.3 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.71 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Crystal Palace
- Jaydee Canvot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 3% of his position)
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 14% of his position)
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 2% of his position)
- Lucas Herrington CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino, 24 · Crystal Palace · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63
Yéremy Pino, 24, plays as a winger for Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 63
- LW · Winger Natural, 63
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 80% |
| Key passes | 1.95 / 90 | 79% |
| Big chances created | 0.39 / 90 | 79% |
| Dispossessed | 1.04 / 90 | 76% |
| Fouls won | 1.69 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- What Yéremy Pino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yéremy Pino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Crystal Palace vs Hull City prediction
Crystal Palace should have more of the ball; Hull City go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.28 for Crystal Palace and 1.58 for Hull City - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 58%. Hull City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 Hull City
Crystal Palace vs Hull City: what the numbers say
- 1. Hull City unbeaten (win or draw) 70% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.87 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Premier League previews
- Manchester City vs Fulham Saturday 21 November 2026
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town Saturday 21 November 2026
- Coventry City vs Crystal Palace Saturday 21 November 2026
- Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026
- Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026
- Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026
- Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 22 November 2026
Crystal Palace vs Hull City: questions and answers
When is Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Crystal Palace vs Hull City is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:05 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 12.
Where is Crystal Palace vs Hull City played?
At Selhurst Park, London, Crystal Palace's home ground.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Hull City are the favourites: Crystal Palace 30%, draw 26%, Hull City 44%. Our prediction is Crystal Palace 1-2 Hull City.
Who is the player to watch in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Yéremy Pino of Crystal Palace: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.