Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Valencia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Valencia

Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Valencia: Valencia took the points in La Liga Matchday 6 on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. The goals: Luis Rioja 78'.

How Valencia won it

The opening goal came in the 78th minute: Luis Rioja for Valencia, set up by Javi Guerra.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, M. Sesma Espinosa, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Deportivo Alavés and 4 to Valencia.

Deportivo Alavés: E. Sánchez Flores, 3-5-2 · Valencia: Ó. Sánchez Fuentes, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.71 for Deportivo Alavés and 0.99 for Valencia.

Deportivo Alavés had 3 shots on target, Valencia 3.

Valencia had 57% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Deportivo Alavés came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 43% of their matches.

Valencia came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 0.92 expected goals for and 1.59 against, and had won 14% of their matches.

Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia: the match in numbers

Deportivo AlavésMatch statisticsValencia
43%Ball possession57%
0.71Expected goals (xG)0.99
15Total shots10
3Shots on target3
2Big chances1
342Total passes474
79%Pass accuracy82%
2Corners5
7Fouls14
3Offsides4
21Tackles17
2Saves3
1Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Pepelu (Valencia), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Deportivo Alavés

Valencia

The lowest-rated starter was Nahuel Tenaglia at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia

What was the score in Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia?

Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Valencia (half-time 0-0), La Liga, Tuesday 15 September 2026.

Who scored in Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia?

Luis Rioja 78'.

Did Moneyball predict Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia?

Pepelu, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia?

M. Sesma Espinosa.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.