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Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City

Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City: Birmingham City took the points in Championship Matchday 7 on Saturday 12 September 2026 at Pride Park Stadium. The goals: Bobby Clark 40', Carlos Vicente 42', Seung-ho Paik 63'.

How Birmingham City won it

Bobby Clark put Derby County ahead in the 40th minute, set up by Sammie Szmodics. Birmingham City levelled at 1-1 in the 42nd minute through Carlos Vicente, set up by Liam Millar. Birmingham City turned it round: Seung-ho Paik made it 1-2 in the 63rd minute, set up by Liam Millar.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, J. Busby, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Derby County and 3 to Birmingham City.

Derby County: J. Eustace, 4-2-3-1 · Birmingham City: C. Davies, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.63 for Derby County and 1.09 for Birmingham City.

Derby County scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Derby County created the better chances, 2.63 xG to 1.09, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Derby County had 4 shots on target, Birmingham City 9.

Derby County's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Derby County had 60% of the ball, but Birmingham City took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Derby County came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 8% of their matches.

Birmingham City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 42% of their matches.

Derby County vs Birmingham City: the match in numbers

Derby CountyMatch statisticsBirmingham City
60%Ball possession40%
2.63Expected goals (xG)1.09
18Total shots19
4Shots on target9
3Big chances5
382Total passes275
76%Pass accuracy67%
10Corners4
8Fouls12
4Offsides1
15Tackles15
6Saves1
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Eiran Cashin (Derby County), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Derby County

Birmingham City

The lowest-rated starter was Henrik Meister at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Derby County vs Birmingham City

What was the score in Derby County vs Birmingham City?

Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City (half-time 1-1), Championship, Saturday 12 September 2026.

Who scored in Derby County vs Birmingham City?

Bobby Clark 40', Carlos Vicente 42', Seung-ho Paik 63'.

Did Moneyball predict Derby County vs Birmingham City correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Derby County vs Birmingham City?

Eiran Cashin, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Derby County vs Birmingham City?

J. Busby.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.