Derby County 0-1 Stoke City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 11 · Saturday 17 October 2026 · Pride Park Stadium, Derby · referee O. Langford · full time
Full time: Derby County 0-1 Stoke City
Stoke City beat Derby County 1-0 in Championship Matchday 11 on Saturday 17 October 2026 at Pride Park Stadium. The goals: Luke Graham 49'.
How Stoke City won it
Stoke City struck first through Luke Graham in the 49th minute, set up by Ethan Galbraith.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, O. Langford, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Derby County and 0 to Stoke City.
Derby County: J. Eustace, 4-2-3-1 · Stoke City: M. Robins, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.75 for Derby County and 1.31 for Stoke City.
Derby County had 3 shots on target, Stoke City 4.
Derby County had 53% of the ball, but Stoke City took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Derby County came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.11 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 8% of their matches.
Stoke City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Derby County vs Stoke City: the match in numbers
| Derby County | Match statistics | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 0.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 17 | Total shots | 12 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 368 | Total passes | 323 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 22 | Tackles | 24 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Luke Graham (Stoke City), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Derby County
- Carlton Morris 7.3
- Dion Sanderson 7.3
- Joe Ward 7.0
- Sammie Szmodics 7.0
- Bobby Clark 6.9
Stoke City
- Luke Graham 8.1 1 goal
- Luca Bombino 7.5
- Djibril Soumaré 7.3
- Ethan Galbraith 7.1 1 assist
- Ben Johnson 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Mohammed Fuseini at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Derby County: Millwall vs Derby County Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
- Stoke City: Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Derby County vs Stoke City
What was the score in Derby County vs Stoke City?
Derby County 0-1 Stoke City (half-time 0-0), Championship, Saturday 17 October 2026.
Who scored in Derby County vs Stoke City?
Luke Graham 49'.
Did Moneyball predict Derby County vs Stoke City correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Derby County vs Stoke City?
Luke Graham, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Derby County vs Stoke City?
O. Langford.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.