Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 30 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro · referee R. Klein · full time
Full time: Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense
Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense: Flamengo took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 30 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The goals: Jorge Carrascal 65'.
How Flamengo won it
Flamengo struck first through Jorge Carrascal in the 65th minute, set up by Lucas Paquetá.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, R. Klein, showed 7 yellow cards: 2 to Flamengo and 5 to Fluminense.
Flamengo: J. Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim, 4-2-3-1 · Fluminense: M. De Oliveira, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.06 for Flamengo and 1.60 for Fluminense.
Fluminense left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Flamengo had 6 shots on target, Fluminense 4.
Fluminense's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Fluminense had 57% of the ball, but Flamengo took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Flamengo came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and 0.96 against, and had won 65% of their matches.
Fluminense came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and 1.38 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Flamengo vs Fluminense: the match in numbers
| Flamengo | Match statistics | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Ball possession | 57% |
| 1.06 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 17 | Total shots | 12 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 425 | Total passes | 558 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 18 | Tackles | 20 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Léo Ortiz (Flamengo), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Flamengo
- Léo Ortiz 7.9
- Lucas Paquetá 7.8 1 assist
- Samuel Lino 7.5
- Agustín Rossi 7.5
- Jorge Carrascal 7.3 1 goal
Fluminense
- Fábio 7.5
- Martinelli 7.3
- Nonato 7.0
- Guilherme Arana 6.9
- Agustín Canobbio 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Pedro at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Flamengo: Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Monday 26 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Fluminense: Fluminense vs Internacional Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Flamengo vs Fluminense
What was the score in Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Jorge Carrascal 65'.
Did Moneyball predict Flamengo vs Fluminense correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Léo Ortiz, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Flamengo vs Fluminense?
R. Klein.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.