Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 23 · Saturday 15 August 2026 · Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro · referee A. Daronco · full time
Full time: Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras: Fluminense took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 23 on Saturday 15 August 2026 at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The goals: Gustavo Gómez 10', Hulk 42', Mauricio 82', Kevin Serna 85', Germán Cano 90+2'.
How Fluminense won it
The opening goal came in the 10th minute: Gustavo Gómez for Palmeiras, set up by Joaquín Piquerez. Fluminense levelled at 1-1 in the 42nd minute through Hulk , set up by Agustín Canobbio. Mauricio made it 1-2 to Palmeiras in the 82nd minute, set up by José Manuel López. Fluminense levelled at 2-2 in the 85th minute through Kevin Serna. Fluminense turned it round: Germán Cano made it 3-2 in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Martinelli. There was no time to answer it.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, A. Daronco, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Fluminense and 3 to Palmeiras.
Fluminense: L. Zubeldía, 4-2-3-1 · Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.13 for Fluminense and 1.88 for Palmeiras.
Fluminense scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Fluminense had 6 shots on target, Palmeiras 6.
Fluminense had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Fluminense came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and 1.38 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Palmeiras came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 63% of their matches.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras: the match in numbers
| Fluminense | Match statistics | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Ball possession | 40% |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| 17 | Total shots | 15 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 487 | Total passes | 317 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 20 | Tackles | 19 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Guga (Fluminense), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Fluminense
- Guga 7.8
- Ganso 7.5
- Germán Cano 7.4
- Agustín Canobbio 7.4 1 assist
- Kevin Serna 7.3 1 goal
Palmeiras
- José Manuel López 7.7 1 assist
- Gustavo Gómez 7.2
- Marlon Freitas 7.2
- Andreas Pereira 7.1
- Allan 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Jhon Arias at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Fluminense: Fluminense vs Internacional Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Palmeiras: Santos vs Palmeiras Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Fluminense vs Palmeiras
What was the score in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Saturday 15 August 2026.
Who scored in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Gustavo Gómez 10', Hulk 42', Mauricio 82', Kevin Serna 85', Germán Cano 90+2'.
Did Moneyball predict Fluminense vs Palmeiras correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Guga, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
A. Daronco.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.