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Fluminense 1-2 Santos: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Fluminense 1-2 Santos

Fluminense 1-2 Santos: Santos took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 31 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The goals: Rodrigo Castillo 4', Gabriel Barbosa 49', Philippe Coutinho 54'.

How Santos won it

The opening goal came in the 4th minute: Rodrigo Castillo for Fluminense, set up by Igor Rabello. Santos levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through Gabriel Barbosa, set up by Rodinei. Santos turned it round: Philippe Coutinho made it 1-2 in the 54th minute, set up by Gabriel Bontempo.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, R. Abatti, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Fluminense and 1 to Santos.

Fluminense: M. De Oliveira, 4-2-3-1 · Santos: A. Stival, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.59 for Fluminense and 0.87 for Santos.

Fluminense scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Santos made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.1 goals.

Fluminense created the better chances, 2.59 xG to 0.87, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Fluminense had 2 shots on target, Santos 5.

Fluminense had 50% of the ball, but Santos took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Fluminense came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.36 expected goals for and 1.38 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

Santos came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.16 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Fluminense vs Santos: the match in numbers

FluminenseMatch statisticsSantos
50%Ball possession50%
2.59Expected goals (xG)0.87
8Total shots17
2Shots on target5
1Big chances4
523Total passes521
86%Pass accuracy89%
4Corners5
18Fouls18
23Tackles18
3Saves1
2Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gabriel Barbosa (Santos), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Fluminense

Santos

The lowest-rated starter was Agustín Canobbio at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Fluminense vs Santos

What was the score in Fluminense vs Santos?

Fluminense 1-2 Santos (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 18 October 2026.

Who scored in Fluminense vs Santos?

Rodrigo Castillo 4', Gabriel Barbosa 49', Philippe Coutinho 54'.

Did Moneyball predict Fluminense vs Santos correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Fluminense vs Santos?

Gabriel Barbosa, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Fluminense vs Santos?

R. Abatti.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.