Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 12
Premier League · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 14:05 UTC · Craven Cottage, London · updated 2026-11-15
Fulham welcome AFC Bournemouth to Craven Cottage in London in Premier League Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:05 UTC.
Fulham have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. AFC Bournemouth have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Fulham 37%, the draw 28%, AFC Bournemouth 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fulham 1.35, AFC Bournemouth 1.30.
- Over 2.5 goals: 49% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Fulham: form and key numbers
In style Fulham keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.58 a match created, 1.26 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.8).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
AFC Bournemouth: form and key numbers
In style AFC Bournemouth press high, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.08 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.0).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 47.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth: season averages side by side
| Fulham | Per match this season | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 1.26 | xG conceded | 1.08 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 4.6 | On target | 4.9 |
| 57.7 | Possession % | 47.8 |
| 30% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 5.9 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Fulham
- Shea Charles DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 1% of his position)
- Oscar Bobb RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 55 · Press-resistant, Chance creator (top 20% of his position)
AFC Bournemouth
- António Silva CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Adrien Truffert LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Crosser, Ball-winner (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: James Hill
James Hill, 24 · AFC Bournemouth · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68
James Hill, 24, plays as a centre-back for AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in duels won and aerial duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 68
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 7.10 / 90 | 99% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.00 / 90 | 95% |
| Long balls | 4.20 / 90 | 95% |
| Tackles | 2.50 / 90 | 91% |
| Interceptions | 1.70 / 90 | 86% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Dominant in the air, Long passer.
- What James Hill is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open James Hill's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
Fulham should have more of the ball, with AFC Bournemouth likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Fulham like to take players on; AFC Bournemouth are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.35 for Fulham and 1.30 for AFC Bournemouth - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Fulham 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.64 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.6 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 10.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth: questions and answers
When is Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:05 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 12.
Where is Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth played?
At Craven Cottage, London, Fulham's home ground.
Who will win Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
It is close: Fulham 37%, draw 28%, AFC Bournemouth 35%. Our prediction is Fulham 1-1 AFC Bournemouth.
Who is the player to watch in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
James Hill of AFC Bournemouth: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.